摘要
基于前景理论研究了有限理性前提下发电商的最优电量分配策略。在前景理论的框架下,分析了发电商的价值函数和概率权重函数,建立了计及发电商心理因素的电量分配决策模型。该模型同时考虑了价值函数和概率权重函数对发电商电量分配决策的影响。通过计算不同方案下发电商的前景效用值,将得到的前景值最大的方案作为发电商的最优分配方案。相比于传统的电量分配决策模型,该决策模型更能反映发电商的心理愿望。算例结果验证了该模型的可行性和有效性。
Based on prospect theory, the optimal allocation strategy of generation energy for gencos under bounded rationality is researched. Firstly, in the frame of prospect theory, the value function and probability weight function of gencos are analyzed; then a generation energy allocation decision-making model, in which the psychological factors of gencos are taken into account, is built. The influences of value function and probability weight function on allocation decision of gencos are simultaneously considered in the built model. By means of computing prospects utility values of gencos under different allocation schemes, the obtained scheme with maximum prospect value is taken as the optimal allocation scheme for gencos. The built allocation model can reflect the desire psychology of gencos better than traditional generation energy allocation decision-making model. The feasibility and effectiveness of the built model are verified by results of calculation example.
出处
《电网技术》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2011年第4期170-175,共6页
Power System Technology
关键词
电力市场
电量分配
前景理论
价值函数
权重
函数
electricity market
generation energy allocation
prospect theory
value function
probability weight function
