摘要
文章在充分考虑中美两国贸易结构与贸易条件等实际因素的基础上,对美国经济周期波动通过货物贸易途径对我国经济周期的影响进行了测算。研究表明,美国不仅可以通过其与我国密切的货物贸易往来对我国经济周期产生影响,还可以通过其对世界经济的巨大影响力对我国经济周期产生影响。其中,美国进口波动对我国经济的影响大于美国出口波动所产生的影响,而两国贸易条件与贸易结构变动产生的影响则不明显。
With the consideration of trade structure and trade condition in China and U.S.,this paper measures the trade transmission effects of U.S.business cycles on China＇s business cycles through goods trade.The research indicates that U.S.transmits its business shocks to China not only by direct and close trade relations,but also by its great power in the world economy.And the effects of U.S.import fluctuations on China＇s economy are more profound than the effects of U.S.export fluctuations on China＇s economy;however,the effects of the changes in trade condition and trade structure of China and U.S.are not significant.
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第4期37-47,共11页
Journal of Finance and Economics
基金
广东商学院校级科研项目(093579001)资助
