摘要
中美贸易不平衡通过扩大需求与增加供给两方面促进了美国的产业结构升级,进而推动了美国经济增长。通过建立VAR模型,就中美商品贸易不平衡对美国产出水平的影响进行实证分析,结果显示,中美商品贸易不平衡提高了美国的产出水平。
This paper regards that the Sino-US trade imbalance promoted the industrial structure readjustment and economic growth by expanding demand and increasing supply.On the base of the former analysis,this paper establishes a VAR model.Through co integration test and impulsion response function,this paper gives a positive analysis to the impact of Sino-US goods trade imbalance on the gross production of US.The result manifests that Sino-US goods trade imbalance improve the gross production of the U.S.
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第10期113-117,共5页
On Economic Problems
基金
北京交通大学人才科技项目(2008RC056)
关键词
中美贸易不平衡
VAR模型
协整检验
脉冲响应函数
Sino-US trade imbalance
vector auto regression model
co integration test
impulsion response function
