摘要
对储量、资源税额、供货合同期限、年产量、进口量、成本、下游行业的需求、铁路运力、替代品的价格、上下游产品价格、库存量、国际煤炭市场价格等12个影响煤炭价格的因素,采用计量经济模型进行分析,并用回归分析法进行检验,给出了运价波动、储量、替代品、资源税额、供货合同期限对煤炭市场价格的影响程度。
The twelve factors affecting coal prices-reserve,resource tax,contract term of supply,annual output,import quantity,costs,demand of downstream industries,railway transportation capacity,prices of substitutes,prices of upstream products,inventory,coal prices of international market-are analyzed by means of quantitative economical models and verified with regression analysis.This paper presents the extend of influences on coal prices of fluctuating prices of transportation,reserves,substitutes,resource tax and contract terms of supply.
出处
《中国煤炭》
北大核心
2010年第9期13-17,共5页
China Coal
关键词
回归分析
计量模型
影响因素
煤炭价格
regression analysis
quantitative model
influence factors
coal prices