摘要
根据技术创新项目决策的特点,提出了一种集成的决策分析方法:模糊层次逼近理想点法(FH-TOP-SIS)。首先,在综合考虑风险和收益两大因素的基础上构建技术创新项目的评价指标体系;然后,将层次分析法(AHP)和逼近理想点法(TOPSIS)有机结合起来评价项目的优劣;最后,通过应用实例说明新方法的可行性和有效性。FH-TOPSIS评价方法不仅吸收了AHP法和TOPSIS法的优点,而且可以针对准则权重进行敏感性分析。该方法为技术创新项目风险-收益分析提供了一种新的分析途径。
According to the characteristics of decision-making of technology innovation projects,an integrated decision analysis method is proposed which is called Fuzzy Hierarchical Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution（FH-TOPSIS） .Firstly,based on synthetically considering two main factors,risks and benefits,the index system is established for the evaluation of technology innovation projects.Secondly,the analytic hierarchy process（AHP） and the TOPSIS method are integrated to evaluate projects.At last,an application example demonstrates the feasibility and effectiveness of the method FH-TOPSIS.The evaluation method FHTOPSIS not only absorbs advantages of AHP and TOPSIS,but also is able to conduct sensitivity analysis about weights of criteria.The proposed method provides a new way to analyze the risks and benefits for technology innovation projects.
出处
《科研管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第5期102-107,184,共7页
Science Research Management
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(09YJC630229)
湖北省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目(2008q048)
关键词
技术创新
风险-收益分析
模糊多准则决策
敏感性分析
technology innovation
risk-benefit analysis
fuzzy multi-criteria decision
sensitivity analysis
