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变维分形模型预测台风路径 被引量:1

The forecasting of typhoon tracks by using variable dimension fractal model
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摘要 应用分形分布模型N=C/r^D的推广形式,即连续主分形(分维数D是r的连续函数,而不是常量)预测我路径,方法简便晚行。这个模型,即可分别独立地预测未来台风路 经和纬度。对8007号台风的预测获得了满意的结果。 The tracks of typhoon can be forecasted by using the variable dimension fractal model. Which is rather simple and easy to be realized. In this method, two independent continuous variable dimension fractal models have to be established in which one stands for the relationship between time and the longitude of the typhoon track where another one stands for the relationship between time and the latitude of the typhoon track. According to these two models, the longitude and latitude of the future typhoon track can be forecasted separately and independently. The tracks of typhoon #8007 and #6702 were forecasted with satisfactory results.
作者 付昱华
出处 《中国海洋平台》 1999年第2期22-25,共4页 China offshore Platform
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