摘要
本文在"控制—干预"的框架内,利用双差分模型及其扩展形式,评估了1999年以来高校扩招政策对大学新毕业生劳动力市场表现的影响。尽管这个期间经济增长迅速,就业机会增多,但扩招还是导致大学新毕业生的劳动参与率下降,失业率上升,小时工资下降。
Using DID （Diff in Diffs） method and its extended form （Diff in Diff in Diffs） under a ＂treatment-control＂ framework, this paper evaluates the impacts of higher education expansion policy, introduced in 1999, on the performance of college/university graduates in the labor market. The results indicate that higher education expansion has reduced labor force participation rate of the college/university graduates, increased their unemployment rate and brought down their wage rate, despite the fact of rapid economy growth and growing job opportunities during that period. Hence, the higher education expansion policy led to the negative effect on the market.
出处
《经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第9期93-108,共16页
Economic Research Journal
基金
中国社会科学院重点课题"中国城镇非正规就业问题研究"的资助
关键词
自然试验
三次差分模型
劳动参与
失业
工资
Natural Experiment
Diff in Diff in Diffs
Labor Force Participation
Unemployment
Wage
