摘要
对福州贮木场松杉原木月价格进行时间序列分析,采用EViews5.0软件所做的实证分析结果表明:福州贮木场松杉原木月价格变化具有非平稳性和弱季节性特点,ARIMA模型对其价格序列具有良好的拟合效果,能够有效地预测其价格动态变化。
Time-series analysis is conducted on forestry product price taking an example of pine log price in Fujian timber yard.According to empirical analysis,time series of pine log price in Fujian timber yard is characterized with instability and weak-seasonal fluctuation and time-series analysis on forestry product price using ARIMA model has the satisfying simulating effect.
出处
《林业经济问题》
北大核心
2010年第2期123-125,共3页
Issues of Forestry Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(70873009)
黑龙江省科技厅青年专项基金资助项目(QC06C007)
