摘要
文中以灰色系统理论思想为指导,运用灰色GM(1,1)模型,以货运量表征物流规模。根据湖南省近10年来的物流需求变化,建立了灰色预测的GM(1,1)模型,预测湖南省今后5年的物流需求,为政府规划地区物流发展提供相关理论参考。
This paper regards gray systematic theory as guidelines, Uses the gray GM (1, 1) model, Signifies the logistics scale with the volume of goods transported .based on the past lO years change of hunan's logistics demand, this paper establishes a gray forecast GM(1,1) model, then forecasts the next five years decade logistics demand of hunan province, according to some calculation, this paper provides theoretical reference for government to plan the development of re-gional logistics.
出处
《物流工程与管理》
2010年第3期17-19,共3页
Logistics Engineering and Management
关键词
物流需求
货运量
灰色预测
GM(1
1)模型
logistics demand
volume of goods transported
gray forecast
GM (1,1) model