摘要
本文利用动态分布法分析了中国28个省区1985-2007年的劳均产出、全要素生产率及要素投入的动态分布与长期趋势。结果表明,劳均产出具有双峰收敛趋势,中国地区经济差距有扩大倾向。研究还发现全要素生产率分布也具有双峰收敛趋势,和劳均产出分布相似,而要素投入则呈单峰收敛趋势,与劳均产出分布存在较大差异,因而可以推断全要素生产率是造成中国地区经济差距的最主要因素,且方差分解也进一步验证了这一结论的稳健性。
This paper analyzes the dynamic evolution and long run trend of output per capita, TFP and factor input of 28 provinces in China from 1985 to 2007 by applying dynamic distribution approach. The results show that output per capita has a trend of bimodal convergence which means that Chinese regional disparity has a long-term expanding trend. The results also indicate that TFP also has a trend of bimodal convergence which is similar to that Of output per capita. But factor input has a trend of unimodal convergence which is very different from that of output per capita. Therefor, we can deduce that TFP is the most important factor affecting Chinese regional disparity, furthermore, variance decompositions also verify the reliability of the conclusion.
出处
《南京社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第2期24-30,共7页
Nanjing Journal of Social Sciences
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“产业空间分异与我国区域经济协调发展”(09CJL034)系列成果之一
