摘要
对广西人工影响天气云系模式预报中的柱云水量、柱过冷云水量和云顶温度3种产品进行了预报效果检验，检验结果表明：这3种模式产品对百色、南宁的预报正确率在45％～65％之间，对其它地区的预报正确率则在45％以下；柱过冷云水量预报的正确率最高。平均达到53％左右，其余2种产品平均正确率在35％左右；模式预报检验结果没有出现明显的季节差异。
Basing on the tests of three kinds of Guangxi weather modification cloud forecast model products, such as columns cloud water, columns supercooled cloud water and cloud top temperature, the results show that： The forecasting accuracy of the three kinds model products in Baise and Nanning city （other cities）is about 45 % - 65 % （under 45% ）. The forecasting accuracy rate of column cold cloud water is highest with 53% in average. And that of the other two kinds of products is about 35%. There is no obvious seasonal difference in the tests of the prediction model results.
出处
《气象研究与应用》
2009年第4期49-51,共3页
Journal of Meteorological Research and Application
关键词
云系模式预报
效果检验
cloud model prediction
tests of forecasting results
