摘要
1986~1996年在石家庄河北棉花所黄、枯萎病混生病圃,对中棉所12每年8月20~25日进行黄萎病调查,并与当地6~8月每旬的平均气温、降水量、日照时数和空气相对湿度等与发生黄萎病关系进行单项和综合分析。结果表明,7月份气温27℃是发病轻重的转折点,7月中下旬的气温是影响黄萎病发病强度的主要因素,可分为高温、低湿、少雨轻病年和低温、高湿、多雨重病年,两者出现频率接近50%。经过对黄萎病指(Y)与所有因子逐步回归分析,入选因子为7月中旬湿度(X5)、6月下旬降水量(X12)、7月中旬降水量(X14)、7月下旬日照时数(X24)和6月下旬平均气温(X30),得出回归方程可试用于黄萎病发病的预测预报。
The correlation between cotton Verticillium wilt and meteorological factors were analyzed from 1986-1996. The index of cotton Verticillium wilt in mid-south of Hebei province were investigated in 20 ̄25 Aug. in each year and the analyses were given with the average of air temperature, the air humidity, and the sunshine and precipitation each ten days of a month (Jun ̄Aug). The results showed that the air temperature of second and last ten days were the determination for the index of cotton Verticillium wilt; the higher temperature, less precipitation and lower humidity were for the lower index; and the lower temperature, more precipitation and higher humidity were for the higher index. A formulation were obtained by regression under (α=0.05), Y=-33 0243+2 7208x 5+0 6245 x 12 -0 3094x 14 -0 6586 x 24 -4 0268 x 30 (X 5:humidity of the second ten days in July;x 12 : Precipitation of the last ten days in June; x 14 : Precipitation of the second ten days in July; x 24 : Sunshine of the last ten days in July; x 30 : Temperature of the last ten days in June).
出处
《棉花学报》
CSCD
北大核心
1998年第5期263-267,共5页
Cotton Science
关键词
棉花
黄萎病
气象因子
相关分析
cotton Verticillium wilt meteorological factors correlation analysis