摘要
文章通过生命表技术和概率理论,测算了大龄未婚男性家庭生命周期各阶段的长度。研究发现大龄未婚男性在60岁时,丧父的累积概率达到0.8,丧母的概率达到0.6;丧父丧母之后大龄未婚男性单独生活16年。不同的年龄参数对测度的各阶段长度有影响。
In the paper we first defines forced male bachelor family and divide its life cycle into three stages,and then based on China's 2000 census and by using life table technique and probability theory we study the family life cycles of forced male bachelors. It finds that:Up to 60 years old,the forced male bachelor faces a probability of 0.8 to lose his father,and that of 0.6 to lose his mother. After the death of his parents,a forced male bachelor will live 16 years alone. Those age parameters affect the length of the three family life cycle stages.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第4期62-70,共9页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(08&ZD048)
国家社会科学基金项目(09XSH005)研究成果
