摘要
新经济增长理论认为人力资本对经济增长有着重要贡献,这也为很多实证研究所证实。本文首先使用收入法和教育年限法分别估算中国的人力资本存量,并对两种结果进行比较发现,后者与中国的实际情况更加吻合;随后利用教育年限法的估算结果,基于Johansen方法检验产出、资本总量和人力资本存量之间的协整关系,认为三者之间存在随机性协整关系。最后将人力资本存量分为劳动力和人力资本水平两部分,在协整分析的基础上研究人力资本积累对中国经济增长的贡献。结果表明,改革开放以来,固定资产投资一直是中国经济增长的主要推动力,但人力资本积累对中国经济增长的贡献度显著提高。
According to new growth theory, the contribution of the human capital to economic growth is great, which has been proved by a great lot empirical research. Firstly, the income approach and the education years approach are employed to estimate the stock of human capital in China. The comparison of the two results show that the latter conform better to the reality of China. Secondly, using estimate results of education years approach, Johansen test show that the output, the capital stock and the human capital stock is stochastic cointegrated. Lastly, the stock of human capital is separated to original lobar and the level of human capital, and the contribution of the human capital aceumulation to the economic growth in China is researched based on the cointegration analysis. The conclusion is that the investment in fixed assets is the principal engine all the while after the reform and opening. But the contribution of the human capital accumulation to the economic growth in China has been increased remarkably.
出处
《湖北经济学院学报》
2009年第4期18-26,共9页
Journal of Hubei University of Economics
关键词
人力资本
经济增长
协整
教育年限法
human capital
economic growth
cointegration
education years approach
