摘要
在寡头发电商报价古诺博弈模型基础上,考虑自适应报价动态与有限理性报价动态,分别建立两发电商与三发电商报价动态系统模型,并分析系统Nash均衡的稳定性,然后对Nash均衡的稳定域、分岔图、混沌吸引子进行了数值仿真;在此基础上,运用状态滞后反馈控制方法,对报价动态系统的混沌控制进行了解析分析与数值仿真,结果表明选择合适的控制变量和控制参数,可使报价动态系统稳定在Nash均衡.
In the paper, with adaptive and bounded rational bidding dynamics, the dynamic bidding system models, included two and three generation companies, are presented respectively based on Cournot game, and the stability of Nash equilibrium are analyzed analytically, then the stable region, bifurcation and stranger attractor are displayed by numerical simulations. In addition, chaos control of dynamic bidding systems are analyzed with state delayed feedback control method, and numerical simulations indicated that Nash equilibrium of dynamic bidding systems enable to maintainable if suitable control variable and parameter are chosen.
出处
《系统工程理论与实践》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2009年第5期83-91,共9页
Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金
国家自然科学基金(70501006)
中国博士后科学基金(20060400259)
湖南省教育厅科研项目(07B005)
关键词
报价策略
动态系统
混沌控制
数值仿真
电力市场
bidding strategy
dynamic systems
chaos control
numerical simulation
power market
