摘要
引入有限理性古诺博弈,建立了电力市场有限理性古诺博弈的动态模型,其展现出Nash均衡、周期和混沌等不同的动态行为。以市场累积利润为经济评价指标,分析比较了两寡头古诺动态博弈处于Nash均衡、周期和混沌动态行为上的经济表现,其中在Nash均衡状态下市场有最优表现。针对电力市场的古诺动态博弈混沌行为,提出电力市场有限理性古诺博弈的时滞反馈混沌控制方法。最后,通过使用本文所提出的控制方法,将市场由混沌状态控制到Nash均衡点,以此实现电力市场经济表现的有效提高。
By introducing the Cournot game model, the dynamic Cournot game model with bounded rationality in power market is established. The dynamic behaviours such as Nash equilibrium, period and chaotic are present. With the accumulation profit as the economic evaluation index, the economic performances of dynamic behaviours in the states of Nash equilibrium, period and chaos are analyzed and compared for duopoly dynamic Cournot game. Among them, the optimal performance appears in the state of Nash equilibrium. In view of the chaotic behaviours of dynamic game in power market, the chaos time-delayed feedback control method is proposed. Finally, by means of the proposed control method, the chaotic state is controlled to the stable equilibrium point and periodic orbit so that the economic performance of dynamic power market is effectively improved.
出处
《陕西电力》
2009年第4期42-46,共5页
Shanxi Electric Power
关键词
混沌
古诺博弈
电力市场
NASH均衡
时滞反馈控制
Chaos, Cournot game, power market, Nash equilibrium, time-delayed feedback control
