摘要
在具有内生增长的交叠世代模型框架内,本文考察了中国的部分积累制养老保险对人口出生率、经济增长和家庭养老保障的影响。本文假设个人为拥有孩子和老年期得到孩子的物质支持而感到满足,子女感谢父母养育之恩的默契总起作用,进而证明提高企业缴费率会导致人口出生率和代际转移率下降、经济增长率上升,而个人缴费对这三者没有影响。最后求解了能合理控制人口规模、促进经济适度增长并鼓励适当家庭养老保障的理想的企业缴费率区间。
Within a framework of an overlapping-generations endogenous growth model, this paper examines the effects of China＇s partially funded public pension system on the fertility, economic growth and family old-age security. It is assumed that individuals satisfy for both having children and getting old-age material support from their children; the tacit agreement for children to appreciate their parents is always operative. It is shown that raising the firm contribution rate reduces the fertility and intergenerational transfer rate, and increases the economic growth rate. The individual contribution has no effect on the three rates. This paper also finds the optimal firm contribution rate interval to rationally control population size, promote economic growth and encourage some family old-age security.
出处
《统计研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第5期77-81,共5页
Statistical Research
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划项目(批准号:06JA30079)的部分研究成果
