摘要
采用均生函数模型对杭州市1956-2008年年降雨量进行预测模拟,并对模型进行了修正。实例结果表明,修正模型具有较强的预报精度,可为类似时间序列要素的中长期预测研究提供借鉴。
Based on model of average-growing function, the yearly precipitation from 1956 to 2008 in H angzhou was modelled and forecast. What is more, the revised method of secondary modeling by error was brought forward and got better result. The fact shows that this method can have better forecast ability and give reference to forecast research of similar time series.
出处
《水电能源科学》
北大核心
2009年第2期14-16,共3页
Water Resources and Power
关键词
均生函数模型
年降水量
预测
model of average-growing function
yearly precipitation
forecast