摘要
在建立契约市场与产品市场之间的选择模型以预测公司或者农户对这两种市场的选择的基础上,将中国订单农业面临的自然风险、市场风险和契约风险纳入统一框架考虑,提出风险构成的圈层结构理论。在圈层结构中,风险从外层向内层传递,不同的圈层结构对应着不同的交易成本,经济社会发展状况及其政府调控体系的性状对于风险结构及其强度有重要影响。
This article tries to build a conceptual framework on risky structure of contract farming in China. The author has built a model of options between contractual market and product market which is used as a tool to predict behavior of farmer or firm response to market price fluctuation of the contracted produce. Natural risk, market risk and contractual risk facing contract farming are taken into consideration based on the above model. The article gives a cycle - layer theory of risky structure of contact farming, in which contractual risky is situated in the core layer, and market risk is located in the intermediary layer, and natural risk is in external layer. Risk relays from external layer into intermediary layer, and then into the core layer, in which different structure of contract farming risk comes from different transaction cost, and in which the level of eco-social development and government＇s regulation systems to macro economy has very strong influence on risky structure.
出处
《四川大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第1期119-125,共7页
Journal of Sichuan University：Philosophy and Social Science Edition
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"‘公司+农户’型产业化风险的形成机理与管理对策研究"(70473060)和教育部新世纪人才支持计划
关键词
订单农业
风险管理
公司+农户
Contract Farming
Risk Management
Firms plus Farmers
