摘要
依据旅游本底趋势线理论,定量分析了2003年SARS对我国国内旅游的影响,结果显示:SARS危机共造成国内游客损失1.28亿人、客流量损失率12.9%,国内旅游收入损失高达858.44亿元;SARS危机国内旅游损失省际差异较大,具有以华北、华中、华东为中心的环带结构,按客流损失量可划分为四个等级,按客流量损失率可划分为3个等级;进而建立了SARS危机国内旅游损失的空间分析模型,确定了省际间国内客流量损失与国内旅游基数、SARS确诊人数及距疫源中心区位指数之间的函数关系,为SARS危机国内旅游损失及其空间分布研究提供了新的信息。
Based on the tourismbackground-curve method, the article made a quantitative analysis on the domestic tourists loss, which the ＂SARS＂ crisis in 2003 had effect on, the result shows, there is 128 million domestic tourists loss in 2003 impacted by SARS, the relatively loss ratio is 12.9%, and domestic tourism income loss is 858,44 million. The difference of domestic tourism loss among the regions is big, the circle structure exits which is as center as the north ,center and east of China.The tourists flow loss can be divided to 4 grades ,and that loss rate can be divided to 3 grades ,further, the article set up the crisismultiplier-model, confirmed the fimction relation between loss and SARS epidemic intensity, distance with epidemic center and tourism base, it offers new information for research of domestic tourism loss and Spatial distribution in SARS crisis.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第6期1059-1063,共5页
Economic Geography
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(编号:03BJY0088)资助
