摘要
本文基于1999～2006年省际面板数据对我国区域电力强度的影响因素进行了分析,结果发现:经济发展水平对电力强度的降低产生了积极的影响;电力价格虽对电力强度的降低有一定影响,但不显著;产业结构和进出口贸易额对电力强度的降低有显著的负面影响;技术条件和外商投资对电力强度降低的影响不是很清晰。合理引导产业结构调整、电力价格改革及加强省域间的经济往来是发展节约型经济、降低我国区域电力强度的重要举措。
The paper analyzes the determinants of Chinese electric intensity, based on inter-provincial panel data during year 1999- 2006. Experiential result shows that the economic development level has certain positive effects on electric power intensity. The other determinative factors in electric power intensity are the course of the electric power price, industrial structure, the import and export volume of trade, and the technology and FDI. The paper presents that the price has negative influence on the electric intensity, but is not remarkable; the import and export volume of trade has undoubtedly negative effects on the electric intensity; but the influence on technology and FDI is not certain. Finally, corresponding advices are put forward, the adjustment of industrial structure, the electric power price reform and strengthening economic contacts between province areas will have positive effects on reducing electric power intensity.
出处
《中国能源》
2008年第8期13-19,共7页
Energy of China
关键词
电力强度
面板数据模型
因素分析
Electric Intensity
Panel Data Model
Factor Analysis
