摘要
采用Box—Jenkins时间序列分析方法,通过Matlab软件,利用达坂城风电场30 m处,每10 min采集一次得到的风速数据,建立ARMA模型,实现提前1 h的风速预测,为更长时间的风速预测提供理论基础。
Using the wind speed data obtained from the Dabancheng wind farm every 10minutes where is 30 meters high,the ARMA model has been established. The wind speed forcasting of the wind farm one hour in advance is realized by the time - series analysis method of Box--Jenkins through Matlab software. The research provides reference for more longer time wind speed forcasting.
出处
《电力环境保护》
2008年第4期1-5,共5页
Electric Power Environmental Protection
基金
新疆教育基金高新技术重点项目(XJEDU2005I02)