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ROC曲线及Logistic回归评价肿瘤标志物在胃结肠肿瘤的诊断价值 被引量:7

Diagnostic value of tumor markers for gastrocolic tumor assessed with ROC curve and logistic regression
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摘要 目的:探讨肿瘤标志物(TM)癌胚抗原(CEA)、甲胎蛋白(AFP)、糖类抗原CA72-4(CA72-4)、糖类抗原CA19-9(CA19-9)在胃结肠肿瘤诊断中的应用价值.方法:应用电化学发光免疫法测定106例胃结肠肿瘤、111例胃结肠良性病、92例正常对照血清中CEA,AFP,CA72-4和CA19-9水平,通过ROC曲线分析和逐步logistic回归结果的ROC曲线下面积(AUC),对TM单独及不同组合方式的敏感性、特异性、Youden指数和阳性似然比/阴性似然比进行比较分析.结果:各TM在胃结肠肿瘤组的浓度显著高于胃结肠病良性病组和正常对照组.胃结肠良性病-胃结肠恶性肿瘤中,逐步Logistic回归法模拟变量的AUC高于单一TM的AUC.CA72-4,CEA,CA19-9联合应用的敏感性、Youden指数、阳性似然比/阴性似然比最高.结论:基于logistic回归的ROC分析可以改善诊断的准确性.在胃结肠肿瘤的鉴别诊断中,CA72-4,CEA及CA19-9联合分析是较好组合. AIM: To investigate the diagnostic values of tumor markers( CEA, AFP, CA72-4 and CA19-9 ) for gastrocolic tumors by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and stepwise logistic regression(LR) analysis. METHODS : The serum concentrations of CEA,AFP, CA72-4 and CA19-9 were measured with electrochemil immunoassay in 106 patients with gastrocolic tumors, 111 patients with benign gastrocolic disorders and 92 controls. The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of CEA,AFP, CA72-4 and CA19-9 and stepwise LR results were compared by sensitivity, specificity, Youden's index and positive likelihood ratio/ negative likelihood ratio. RESULTS : The four tested tumor markers in patients with gastrocolic tumor were significantly higher than those in benign gastrocolic group and normal controls. In the tumor-benign group, the AUC from stepwise logistic regression was larger than the AUC of four tumor markers respectively. Sensitivity ,Youden's index and positive likelihood ratio/negative likelihood ratio of CA72-4, CEA, CA19-9 were the highest in various combination manners of the four tumor markers. CONCLUSION: The use of ROC established by LR analysis improves diagnostic accuracy. The combination of tumor markers CA72-4, CEA and CA19-9 is more suitable as a diagnostic model for the screening of gastrocolic tumor.
出处 《第四军医大学学报》 北大核心 2008年第14期1298-1300,共3页 Journal of the Fourth Military Medical University
关键词 胃肿瘤 结肠肿瘤 癌胚抗原 甲胎蛋白类 糖类抗原CA72-4 糖类抗原CA19-9 诊断 stomach meoplasms colonic neoplasm carcinoembryonic antigen alpha-fetoproteins CA72-4 CA19-9 diagnosis
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