摘要
在综述相关文献的基础上,利用协整检验、因果关系检验和脉冲响应函数等计量方法,根据中国1985—2006年的数据,从金融发展的规模、结构和效率三个方面对金融发展与出口贸易结构的关系进行实证分析。实证结果表明:金融发展与出口贸易结构优化之间存在着长期的协整关系,我国要促进金融体制的改革,提高金融效率,进一步促进贸易结构的优化。
This article made a summary of the research results of the relations between finance development and trade structure optimation. Using cointegration test and Granger-causality analysis, impules response functions technique, data collected from 1985 to 2006 ,this paper analyses the results of the relations between the financial development and the structure of export trade in the aspects of the financial development of the size, structure and efficiency. The empirical results show that: a long-term cointegration relationship exists in the financial development and export trade structure, China should promote the reform of the financial system and improving financial efficiency, and to optimize the structure of trade.
出处
《华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
2008年第3期34-40,共7页
Journal of South China Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金(06BJL006)
关键词
协整检验
格兰杰因果关系检验
脉冲响应函数
贸易结构优化
cointegration test
Granger-causality analysis
impules response functions
trade structure optimation