摘要
选择青岛市作为研究区,构建系统动力学仿真模型,采用层次分析法和多分量水资源承载能力指数法定量分析青岛市水资源承载力,并通过对拟定四种水资源配置方案的对比分析,确定青岛市水资源配置的最佳方案.在此基础上,预测不同水平年可承载GDP和总人口.该成果可以为青岛市水资源可持续利用以及社会、经济、资源的协调发展提供科学依据.
A system dynamic （SD） simulation model was constructed to contrastively analyze four proposed schemes of water resources allocation. This paper quantitatively analyzed water resources carrying capacity of Qingdao using analytic hierarchy process （AHP） and multi-component exponent method. The GDP and total population carrying capacity are also forecasted. This scheme is intended to provide scientific evidence for sustainable utilization of water resources in Qingdao and harmonious development of the society, economy and resources.
出处
《西安建筑科技大学学报（自然科学版）》
CSCD
北大核心
2008年第3期418-423,共6页
Journal of Xi'an University of Architecture & Technology(Natural Science Edition)
基金
青岛市科技基金项目(05-1-HY-85)
关键词
水资源承载力
系统动力学
优化配置
青岛市
water resources carrying capacity
system dynamics
optimal allocation
Qingdao
