摘要
在三寡头垄断的电力市场中假设生产者分别采用静态预期及有限理性预期规则,建立了一个基于不同决策规则的动态博弈模型.对该模型进行了较详细的理论分析和参数仿真计算,在一定范围内得出了系统出现混沌的参数值,分析了不同参数组合条件下系统表现出来的分岔,混沌和密度周期性等复杂性态.所得结果对于一般寡头电力市场中的生产者制定产量计划具有一定启示作用.
A dynamic game model based on different decision rules is established in electric power triopoly market provided producers make decisions with static expectation and bounded rationality, respectively. Theoretic analysis and numerical simulation show the range of the parameter leading to the chaos. The complex character of this model, such as fractal, chaos and density cycling is analyzed by using chaotic dynamics theory when have important value for the producers in the some parameters of the model are varied. The results practical electric power oligopoly market.
出处
《系统工程学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2008年第3期257-263,330,共8页
Journal of Systems Engineering
关键词
电力市场
三寡头
博弈模型
不同决策规则
混沌
electric power market
triopoly
game model
different decision rules
chaos
