摘要
分析了1986—2005年间江苏省经济总量增长、经济结构变化、技术进步对环境质量变化的影响,并以此对江苏省主要污染物的环境库兹涅茨曲线假说的验证结果作了进一步的解释。研究结果表明:(1)江苏省1986—2005年间废水、废气、固体废弃物等污染物的演变规律不符合环境库兹涅茨曲线假说,目前江苏省总体上仍然处在环境库兹涅茨曲线的左端。(2)经济增长对环境质量影响的规模效应为负,有使环境质量恶化的自发趋势;结构效应对环境质量的影响为正,能够在一定程度上改善环境质量;而技术效应对环境质量的影响不明显;三者共同作用的结果是结构效应和技术效应不能抵消规模效应对环境质量恶化的影响,这是江苏省没有出现环境库兹涅茨曲线转折点的主要原因。
This paper established a frame for analyzing the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality, and in this frame analyzed the impact on the economic growth, economic structure and technological advancement, and made a further interpretation of the result of Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis. The study results suggest that, （ 1 ） The evolvement features of waste water, exhaust gas and solid wastes did not accord with Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in Jiangsu Province, and the overall situation of the province still resided in the left of Environmental Kuznets Curve ; （ 2 ） The impact on the environmental quality of scale effect is distinct and can degrade the environmental quality; the structure effect can improve environmental quality; the technological effect was not distinct, and the structure and scale effect and technological effect could not counteract the scale effect. This was the main reason why no turning point is shown on Environmental Kuznets Curve of Jiangsu Province.
出处
《南京农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2008年第1期20-25,共6页
Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)
关键词
经济增长
环境质量
环境库兹涅茨曲线假说
Economic Growth
Environment Quality
Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis
