摘要
传统的研究通常使用经典的线性回归模型对国内生产总值(GDP)和卫生总费用(THE)水平值或增长率的相互关系进行检验,而忽视了变量之间波动成分的联动性。事实上,在经济运行过程中,经济变量通常偏离长期均衡水平,从而处于波动状态。因此,构造了卫生总费用压力指数,以便利用离散选择模型来表述其扩张和收缩2个状态面对国内生产总值指数变化的反应概率,继而得出了两者偏离成分的动态相关性较强,国内生产总值水平的正向变动为卫生总费用提供了财力支持的结论。
The relationship of GDP and total health expenditure is always tested by classical linear regression models, but the linkage of fluctuation between variables is ignored. Actually, in the economic process, economic variables deviate from long-term equilibrium and fluctuate. Therefore, this article constructs total health expenditure press index, and depicts response probabilities of total health expenditure to GDP index changes in expansion and contraction process. The dynamic relationship between divergence of total health expenditure and GDP is strong. The right fluctuation of GDP provides fiscal support for total health expenditure.
出处
《中国卫生经济》
2008年第3期26-28,共3页
Chinese Health Economics
基金
吉林大学跨学科项目(2006KXK05)
国家自然科学基金(70573040)
国家教育部重大项目(05JJD790005)资助
