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上海证券交易市场量价关系的分位回归分析 被引量:22

The Quantile Regression Analysis on the Price-Volume Relationship of Shanghai Stock Exchange
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摘要 传统回归估计往往错估真实的量价关系,且高估的情况多于低估的情况。本文在区分收益率与收益率绝对量的基础上,采用分位回归模型方法对沪市的量价关系进行深入分析。结果表明,沪市存在显著的量价关系;收益率与交易量存在显著的非对称V型量价关系,且正向量价关系强于负向量价关系;收益率绝对量与交易量存在显著的正向关系,且价格波动越大时量价关系越强。 The traditional OLS method often misestimates the real price-volume relationship, and the overestimation appears more often. After dividing return per se and absolute return, the price-volume relationships of Shanghai Stock Exchange are studied by quantile regression. The empirical results prove that there exist marked price-volume relationships in Shanghai Stock Exchange. The relationship between return per se and volume presents an obvious unsymmetrical Ⅴ-shape, where the positive ones are stronger than the negative ones. The relationship between absolute return and volume is positive, and the price-volume relationship presents stronger when price fluctuates more intensely.
出处 《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第10期141-150,F0003,共11页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
关键词 收益率 交易量 量价关系 分位回归 Market Return Volume Price-Volume Quantile Regression
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