摘要
在采用我国1980年-2004年的进口贸易额与GDP额这一有效数据基础上,引入格兰杰协整方法,建立误差修正模型修正非平稳序列的种种问题。实证分析证明我国进口贸易额的增长与经济增长之间存在正相关关系,并且进口贸易额每增长1%,能够促使GDP增长0.25%。所以,在人民币逐步升值的形势下,应把握好机会,进一步利用进口贸易带动整个国民经济的增长。
ECM was established to correct the errors of unstable arrays in this article through utilizing Granger co - integration and the relevant data of import and GDP from 1980 - 2004. This study proved that there was a positive relationship between import and GDP in China, i.e. each 1% increase of import would promote the GDP growth by 0.25 % . Thus, under the condition of RMB revaluation, we should further drive the GDP growth by increasing import.
出处
《广西财经学院学报》
2007年第1期103-107,共5页
Journal of Guangxi University of Finance and Economics
