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A Correction Method Suitable for Dynamical Seasonal Prediction 被引量:13

A Correction Method Suitable for Dynamical Seasonal Prediction
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摘要 Based on the hindcast results of summer rainfall anomalies over China for the period 1981-2000 by the Dynamical Climate Prediction System (IAP-DCP) developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, a correction method that can account for the dependence of model's systematic biases on SST anomalies is proposed. It is shown that this correction method can improve the hindcast skill of the IAP-DCP for summer rainfall anomalies over China, especially in western China and southeast China, which may imply its potential application to real-time seasonal prediction. Based on the hindcast results of summer rainfall anomalies over China for the period 1981-2000 by the Dynamical Climate Prediction System (IAP-DCP) developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, a correction method that can account for the dependence of model's systematic biases on SST anomalies is proposed. It is shown that this correction method can improve the hindcast skill of the IAP-DCP for summer rainfall anomalies over China, especially in western China and southeast China, which may imply its potential application to real-time seasonal prediction.
作者 陈红 林朝晖
出处 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2006年第3期425-430,共6页 大气科学进展(英文版)
关键词 correction method dynamical seasonal prediction summer rainfall anomaly correction method, dynamical seasonal prediction, summer rainfall anomaly
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