摘要
阐述了国内外水资源演变研究现状,强调了水资源演变的研究对象与进展,分析了水资源演变研究中的难题,并展望了未来的发展趋势,指出分布式水文模型的优势为研究水资源演变规律提供了技术支持,归因分析将是研究的主要发展方向,统计法结合水文模型对水资源演变的归因分析具有不可替代的作用。
After reviewing the state of the art of water resources evolution research,advances in the objects and contents of research are emphasized.This paper discusses the confronted problems needed to be resolved of water resources evolution research,and gives future prospects of water resources evolution research,indicates that distributed watershed hydrologic modeling is a powerful tool for the water resources evolution research,which provides technical supports for law of water resources evolution.It also points out that the detection and attribution analysis will be the main trend of the research and that hydrologic modeling coupled with statistical method is indispensable in the detection and attribution analysis research.
出处
《水电能源科学》
北大核心
2010年第8期20-23,共4页
Water Resources and Power
基金
国家科技支撑计划课题基金资助项目(2007BAB28B01)
国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项课题基金资助项目(2008ZX07207-006)
国家自然科学基金创新研究群体基金资助项目(50721006)
