摘要
本文概述了西方新兴的对抗分析方法与理论.对抗分析引用对策论和逻辑学的知识来研究解决对抗决策,有较严密的数学基础.比以往的方法有效、直观、易解,更加切合实际.这里主要以对古巴导弹危机的分析为例展示对抗分析的基本方法和复对策理论.
This paper summarizes the basic concept of Conflict Analysis which known as CONAN. CONAN is a new branch of decition theory based on solid mathematics with useing some logic concepts and game theory to solve antagnistic decision problems. It is more effective, intuitive, comprehensive and more practical than used to do. Here take the Cuban Missile Crisis as an example to exibit CONAN and metagame theory.
出处
《系统工程》
CSCD
1989年第5期25-32,共8页
Systems Engineering
