摘要
本文利用时序全局主成分分析法对1981～2001年中国的工业化发展作了动态描绘,结果表明,1981～2001年中国的工业化发展处于整体攀升并伴有小幅波动态势。动态轨迹与客观实际能较好的吻合,可为中国工业化进一步健康发展提供参考依据。
This paper analyses Chinese industialization development from 1981 to 2001 by means of time series analysis and all-around PCA.The result has shown that China’s industrialization development from 1981 to 2001 was climbing on the whole,but had fluctuation within low range, and its dynamic track can well reflect the fact,so it can be regarded as a reference for farther industrialization development.
出处
《数理统计与管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2005年第4期1-5,共5页
Journal of Applied Statistics and Management
关键词
工业化
发展态势
时序分析
主成分分析
industrialization
development
time series analysis
all-around PCA
