摘要
运用灰色系统理论,建立集装箱吞吐量的灰色预测模型,解决信息匮乏条件下决策依据问题.利用灰色预测模型预测了大连港未来7年的集装箱吞吐量.从预测结果来看,其历史实际值拟合度好,表明了模型具有较高的可靠性.
This paper explores the process of establishing, based on the Grey Model Theory, the Container Throughput Grey Model and the application on estimating the container throughput of the Dalian Port for the next 7 years. The purpose of establishing the Container Throughput Grey Model is to provide the decisive information with the poor data for the port strategic decision-making. There is enough evidence to prove that the results are significant and the historical data fits well. It shows that the Container Throughput Grey Model is reliable for the forecast.
出处
《大连海事大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2005年第2期36-37,44,共3页
Journal of Dalian Maritime University
基金
辽宁省社科基金资助项目(LO3CJY016).
