摘要
宏观经济系统是一类复杂系统,具有非线动态系统的一般特征。本文根据我国国民经济运行情况,建立一个动态经济系统的计量经济学模型,分析其动态行为:平衡、稳定周期、分形与混沌,应用计算机模拟技术给出这些行为产生的经济政策条件。这一研究将有助于人们加深对我国国民经济运行发展机制的认识和对各种经济政策的杠杆作用的理解。
Economic system is one of the complex systems which behaves similariiy to a nonlinear dynamic system. In this paper, depending on the macroeconomic phenomena in China, we establish an econometric model, and then analyzed the dynamic behaviors: equilibrium, stability, fractals and chaos. We also discuss the conditions under which the economic system can exhibit various behaviors, with the aid of computer, we simulate the system under several different kinds of economic policies.
出处
《系统工程理论方法应用》
1993年第3期14-19,共6页
Systems Engineering Theory·Methodology·Applications
关键词
经济系统
混沌
政策变量
Economic System, Chaos, Economic Polocies
