摘要
对于历史研究而言,反设事实(或称假设历史)在进行因果分析、区分偶然和必然的过程中起着着重要的辅助作用,并且是史学鉴戒功能的逻辑基础.作为一种独立的方法,大胆假设的前瞻分析与固守事实的回顾分析相配合,能够有效地克服事后观察所带来的认识盲区,建立更具普遍性和开放性的社会理论.
On the study of history Counterfactuals(or historical hypothesis)has a side effect on cause and effect analysis as well as distinguishing between contingency and necessity. It is also logic base of historical warning function. Being an independent approach, prospective analyses which suppose bravely can cooperate with retrospective analyses which keep to facts, in order that effectively conquer cognitive mistakes of latter-wit, and bring more universal and opener historical explanation.
出处
《历史教学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2005年第1期35-38,共4页
History Teaching
关键词
反设事实
因果分析
鉴戒
前瞻分析
回顾分析
Counterfactuals, Prospective Analyses, Retrospective Analyses, Cause and Effect Analysis, Warning
