摘要
By comparative analysis on the meteorological conditions and occurrences of rice planthoppers in Guilin of Guangxi during recent 5 years,the temperature,precipitation,wind direction,wind velocity,humidity were chosen as the factors that affected the migration of rice planthopper in Guilin.Thinking of meteorological conditions and injurious number in early period,regression analysis method was used to establish the work system for grade forecast of meteorological conditions that affected the migration of rice planthopper.The forecast factors and targets were divided as 5 grades in the work system.Using one-week's weather forecast conclusion that local observatory had published,whether the meteorological conditions and injurious number were favorable or not was analyzed synthetically.The meteorological conditions grades that affected the migration of rice planthopper for each day in future 1-7 days were predicted.This is a practical forecast work system and the forecast accuracy for each day is larger than 70%.The work system has positive function in the manufacture practice.
By comparative analysis on the meteorological conditions and occurrences of rice planthoppers in Guilin of Guangxi during recent 5 years,the temperature,precipitation,wind direction,wind velocity,humidity were chosen as the factors that affected the migration of rice planthopper in Guilin.Thinking of meteorological conditions and injurious number in early period,regression analysis method was used to establish the work system for grade forecast of meteorological conditions that affected the migration of rice planthopper.The forecast factors and targets were divided as 5 grades in the work system.Using one-week's weather forecast conclusion that local observatory had published,whether the meteorological conditions and injurious number were favorable or not was analyzed synthetically.The meteorological conditions grades that affected the migration of rice planthopper for each day in future 1-7 days were predicted.This is a practical forecast work system and the forecast accuracy for each day is larger than 70%.The work system has positive function in the manufacture practice.
基金
Supported by The Project of Guilin Science and Technology in Guangxi (2009011405)
