目的 探讨收缩压变异性(SBPV)和心率变异性(HRV)对维持性血液透析(MHD)患者主要不良心血管事件(MACE)发生风险的预测价值。方法 纳入2017年3月—2018年3月在宜昌市中心人民医院肾病内科血液净化中心接受规律治疗的MHD患者120例,根据是...目的 探讨收缩压变异性(SBPV)和心率变异性(HRV)对维持性血液透析(MHD)患者主要不良心血管事件(MACE)发生风险的预测价值。方法 纳入2017年3月—2018年3月在宜昌市中心人民医院肾病内科血液净化中心接受规律治疗的MHD患者120例,根据是否发生MACE分为MACE组(n=59)与无MACE组(n=61)。在患者行血液透析前佩戴Holter,收集24 h心电活动信息,计算均值(MEAN)、RR间期总体标准差(SDNN)、RR间期平均值的标准差(SDANN)和相邻RR间期差值的均方根(r-MSSD)。采用自动血压监测系统记录24 h血压变化,计算白昼收缩压变异性(dSBPV)、夜间收缩压变异性(nSBPV)和24 h收缩压变异性(24 h SBPV)。Logistic回归分析MHD患者MACE发生的危险因素。调整混杂因素后,采用Cox比例风险模型回归分析24 h SBPV和SDNN与MHD患者MACE发生的关系。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,计算曲线下面积(AUC)、灵敏度、特异度,分析SDNN和收缩压变异性单独及联合对维持性MHD患者发生MACE的预测价值。根据SDNN和24 h SBPV水平将患者分成3组,绘制Kaplan-Meier生存曲线评价不同SDNN和收缩压变异性的MHD患者MACE发生情况。结果 与无MACE组相比,MACE组年龄较大,24 h SBPV、dSBPV、nSBPV较高,SDNN、SDANN较低,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析显示,年龄、Kt/V、24 h SBPV、dSBPV、nSBPV、SDNN、SDANN是MHD患者MACE发生的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。调整混杂因素后,多因素COX比例风险模型回归分析,24 h SBPV为MHD患者发生MACE的危险因素,而SDNN为MHD患者发生MACE的保护性因素(P<0.05)。SDNN与收缩压变异性联合预测MHD患者发生MACE的AUC为0.879,预测效能高于单项检测(P<0.05)。组1随访期间累积MACE发生率显著低于组2和组3(19.15%vs 65.12%vs 73.33%,P<0.001)。结论 MHD不良预后患者中24 h SBPV升高,SDNN降低,24 h SBPV和SDNN单独预测MACE的具体价值尚可,两者联合预测效果更佳,可为临床上及早识别及干展开更多
Most of the important units of pressure equipment have been manufactured successfully in China related to the national key construction projects,such as 10 million tons/year oil refinery,million tons/year ethylene,lar...Most of the important units of pressure equipment have been manufactured successfully in China related to the national key construction projects,such as 10 million tons/year oil refinery,million tons/year ethylene,large coal chemical,etc.However,some of them failed to operate shortly after their putting into service.Some suffered severe damage even during the previous period of manufacture and installation.In this paper,cases of accident survey and failure analysis are given for some typical pressure vessels.It is found that many accidents are related to insufficient consideration of the design and manufacture of the equipment.These accidents occur fundamentally because of the Chinese design standards codes for pressure equipment without risk or life concepts and the support from a database for potential risk existing in their dynamic service.Most designers and manufacturers are unable to make correct design,materials selection and manufacturing process all due to a lack of engineering experience.In order to avoid the repetition of the accidents and improve the safety,reliability and economy of pressure equipment,a platform is suggested for design,manufacture and maintenance of pressure equipment in China based on accidents survey.In other words,some effective precautionary measures are taken at the design and manufacture stage,and the design methodology has to be based on service life requirement and desirable risk level.At the service stage some reasonable inspection/monitoring approaches should be utilized to control risks and ensure the equipment operating safely until its desired lifespan.Finally,the basic scheme and some key technologies are briefly given for the platform construction.The concept of risk and life based design,manufacture and maintenance proposed herein has important significance for improving and perfecting the codes and standards for design,manufacture and maintenance of Chinese pressure-bearing equipment,enhancing the life and reliability of Chinese pressure-bearing equipment and promotin展开更多
文摘目的 探讨收缩压变异性(SBPV)和心率变异性(HRV)对维持性血液透析(MHD)患者主要不良心血管事件(MACE)发生风险的预测价值。方法 纳入2017年3月—2018年3月在宜昌市中心人民医院肾病内科血液净化中心接受规律治疗的MHD患者120例,根据是否发生MACE分为MACE组(n=59)与无MACE组(n=61)。在患者行血液透析前佩戴Holter,收集24 h心电活动信息,计算均值(MEAN)、RR间期总体标准差(SDNN)、RR间期平均值的标准差(SDANN)和相邻RR间期差值的均方根(r-MSSD)。采用自动血压监测系统记录24 h血压变化,计算白昼收缩压变异性(dSBPV)、夜间收缩压变异性(nSBPV)和24 h收缩压变异性(24 h SBPV)。Logistic回归分析MHD患者MACE发生的危险因素。调整混杂因素后,采用Cox比例风险模型回归分析24 h SBPV和SDNN与MHD患者MACE发生的关系。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,计算曲线下面积(AUC)、灵敏度、特异度,分析SDNN和收缩压变异性单独及联合对维持性MHD患者发生MACE的预测价值。根据SDNN和24 h SBPV水平将患者分成3组,绘制Kaplan-Meier生存曲线评价不同SDNN和收缩压变异性的MHD患者MACE发生情况。结果 与无MACE组相比,MACE组年龄较大,24 h SBPV、dSBPV、nSBPV较高,SDNN、SDANN较低,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析显示,年龄、Kt/V、24 h SBPV、dSBPV、nSBPV、SDNN、SDANN是MHD患者MACE发生的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。调整混杂因素后,多因素COX比例风险模型回归分析,24 h SBPV为MHD患者发生MACE的危险因素,而SDNN为MHD患者发生MACE的保护性因素(P<0.05)。SDNN与收缩压变异性联合预测MHD患者发生MACE的AUC为0.879,预测效能高于单项检测(P<0.05)。组1随访期间累积MACE发生率显著低于组2和组3(19.15%vs 65.12%vs 73.33%,P<0.001)。结论 MHD不良预后患者中24 h SBPV升高,SDNN降低,24 h SBPV和SDNN单独预测MACE的具体价值尚可,两者联合预测效果更佳,可为临床上及早识别及干
基金supported by Sino-France National International Cooperation Program(Grant No.2006DFB73000)National High-tech Research and Development Program of China(863 Program, Grant No.2007AAO4Z430,Grant No.2009AA044802)
文摘Most of the important units of pressure equipment have been manufactured successfully in China related to the national key construction projects,such as 10 million tons/year oil refinery,million tons/year ethylene,large coal chemical,etc.However,some of them failed to operate shortly after their putting into service.Some suffered severe damage even during the previous period of manufacture and installation.In this paper,cases of accident survey and failure analysis are given for some typical pressure vessels.It is found that many accidents are related to insufficient consideration of the design and manufacture of the equipment.These accidents occur fundamentally because of the Chinese design standards codes for pressure equipment without risk or life concepts and the support from a database for potential risk existing in their dynamic service.Most designers and manufacturers are unable to make correct design,materials selection and manufacturing process all due to a lack of engineering experience.In order to avoid the repetition of the accidents and improve the safety,reliability and economy of pressure equipment,a platform is suggested for design,manufacture and maintenance of pressure equipment in China based on accidents survey.In other words,some effective precautionary measures are taken at the design and manufacture stage,and the design methodology has to be based on service life requirement and desirable risk level.At the service stage some reasonable inspection/monitoring approaches should be utilized to control risks and ensure the equipment operating safely until its desired lifespan.Finally,the basic scheme and some key technologies are briefly given for the platform construction.The concept of risk and life based design,manufacture and maintenance proposed herein has important significance for improving and perfecting the codes and standards for design,manufacture and maintenance of Chinese pressure-bearing equipment,enhancing the life and reliability of Chinese pressure-bearing equipment and promotin
