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中国居民家庭的收入变动及其对长期平等的影响 被引量:153
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作者 王海港 《经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2005年第1期56-66,共11页
本文利用“中国经济、人口、营养和健康调查”1 989— 1 997年期间 4期家庭收入和家长特征的模块数据 (paneldata) ,用时间依赖定义收入变动 ,度量了全体家庭和分4种类型的家庭在上世纪 80年末至 90年后半期的收入变动。发现在总体收入... 本文利用“中国经济、人口、营养和健康调查”1 989— 1 997年期间 4期家庭收入和家长特征的模块数据 (paneldata) ,用时间依赖定义收入变动 ,度量了全体家庭和分4种类型的家庭在上世纪 80年末至 90年后半期的收入变动。发现在总体收入分配中 ,高比例持续贫困的发生比较分散 ,并不固定在哪一类型的家庭上。平均而言 ,农村家庭的持续贫困比例稍高。与此相反 ,持续高收入的家庭集中在城市、郊区和城镇 ,农村的富裕家庭变动大 ,收入不稳定。分组家庭之间 ,农村家庭的收入变动最大。分组家庭内部 ,家长为中年和壮年人的家庭人收入景况较好 ,富裕老人家庭能否保持富裕在农村和在其它分组差别很大。总体而言 ,我国居民家庭收入分配的变动在这一时期减慢 ;收入变动在所有4个时期内都有利于分配的平等 ,2 0世纪 90年代中期后在农村和城镇家庭的作用大幅减弱 ,但对改善城市家庭的平等分配作用增强。 展开更多
关键词 收入分配 变动 农村 贫困 富裕 持续 高收入 家庭 健康调查 中期
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收入结构与居民收入差距变动——新中国成立以来收入差距的基本特征 被引量:38
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作者 罗楚亮 《北京工商大学学报(社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2020年第4期32-42,56,共12页
新中国成立以来,我国收入差距的变动大体上表现出三个阶段性特征,即计划经济时期的平均主义倾向、经济转型过程中的快速持续扩张以及当前阶段的高位徘徊。改革开放前,我国的收入差距比较低。改革开放后,我国普遍存在着较高的城乡收入差... 新中国成立以来,我国收入差距的变动大体上表现出三个阶段性特征,即计划经济时期的平均主义倾向、经济转型过程中的快速持续扩张以及当前阶段的高位徘徊。改革开放前,我国的收入差距比较低。改革开放后,我国普遍存在着较高的城乡收入差距,城镇和农村内部收入差距在经济转型过程中持续扩大。从收入结构来看,农村收入来源的非集体化、非农业化过程中,农村内部收入差距在不断扩大;城镇内部,就业结构的转变以及工资分配激励效应的强化扩大了收入差距;农副产品价格上升以及农村劳动力外出缩小了城乡之间的收入差距。总体而言,改革开放之前的收入分配模式并不可取,但也必须正视当前的收入差距问题,防止形成收入差距不断扩大的内生机制。 展开更多
关键词 收入差距 经济转型 收入结构 长期特征 城乡差距
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Four Decades of China's Income Distribution Reform 被引量:31
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作者 Li Shi 《China Economist》 2018年第4期2-33,共32页
Income gaps in China kept widening over the past four decades of economic transition. First, this paper describes the change in income gaps before and after reform and opening-up in 1978 and found that income gaps had... Income gaps in China kept widening over the past four decades of economic transition. First, this paper describes the change in income gaps before and after reform and opening-up in 1978 and found that income gaps had been expanding between urban and rural areas, within cities and within the countryside. However, this did not lead to income polarization since low-income groups only had a slower income growth compared with highincome groups. The number of poor people continuously reduced thanks to rapid economic growth. Over the past decade, the widening of income gaps has been initially curbed. Accordingly, we explained the impact of economic transition on income distribution from the perspectives of market-based distribution, ownership structure, opening-up and internal income distribution. Lastly, this paper provides an in-depth analysis on urban-rural income gaps, excessive compensation in monopolistic sectors and income inequalities arising from corruption. To address these problems, it is important to enhance tax regulation, increase transfer payments to poor people, improve social security, equalize public services, enhance poverty relief and develop a fairer income distribution system. 展开更多
关键词 income gap economic transition distribution fairness Gini coefficient
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住房改革、房价上涨与居民收入差距扩大 被引量:19
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作者 宁光杰 《当代经济科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第5期52-58,共7页
本文分析中国的住房制度改革对居民收入差距的影响,并运用中国健康与营养调查(CHNS)1991年、1993年和2004年、2006年中的相关数据进行实证分析。研究发现在住房改革过程中,由于政策不统一、改革不稳步,住房的分配存在较大的差距和不公... 本文分析中国的住房制度改革对居民收入差距的影响,并运用中国健康与营养调查(CHNS)1991年、1993年和2004年、2006年中的相关数据进行实证分析。研究发现在住房改革过程中,由于政策不统一、改革不稳步,住房的分配存在较大的差距和不公平。劳动者获得住房的产权形式不同,住房价值也存在较大差异,从而会影响居民的收入分配结构和消费水平差异。改革后房地产市场上房价的过快增长又将这种收入差距进一步扩大。论文强调不完善的、过快的住房市场化改革是造成目前中国居民收入差距扩大的重要原因。 展开更多
关键词 住房改革 房价 收入分配 消费 经济转型
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Rural-urban Migration and Dynamics of Income Distribution in China:A Non-parametric Approach 被引量:10
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作者 Yong Liu, Wei Zou 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2011年第6期37-55,共19页
Extending the income dynamics approach in Quah (2003), the present paper studies the enlarging income inequality in China over the past three decades from the viewpoint of rural-urban migration and economic transiti... Extending the income dynamics approach in Quah (2003), the present paper studies the enlarging income inequality in China over the past three decades from the viewpoint of rural-urban migration and economic transition. We establish non-parametric estimations of rural and urban income distribution functions in China, and aggregate a population- weighted, nationwide income distribution function taking into account rural-urban differences in technological progress and price indexes. We calculate 12 inequality indexes through non-parametric estimation to overcome the biases in existingparametric estimation and, therefore, provide more accurate measurement of income inequalitY. Policy implications have been drawn based on our research. 展开更多
关键词 economic transition income distribution MIGRATION non-parametric estimation
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社会阶层、相对收入对家庭生育数量的影响 被引量:1
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作者 米瑞华 严梦 倪世龙 《人口与社会》 2023年第6期97-108,共12页
在少子化趋势和社会阶层感知日益明显的背景下,厘清社会阶层与相对收入对家庭生育数量的影响,对于实现人口高质量发展具有重要意义。基于中国综合社会调查(CGSS)2021年数据,使用Ologit多元排序选择模型实证检验社会阶层和相对收入对家... 在少子化趋势和社会阶层感知日益明显的背景下,厘清社会阶层与相对收入对家庭生育数量的影响,对于实现人口高质量发展具有重要意义。基于中国综合社会调查(CGSS)2021年数据,使用Ologit多元排序选择模型实证检验社会阶层和相对收入对家庭生育数量的影响。研究发现:(1)相对收入水平对家庭生育数量的挤出效应总体显著,但社会阶层对家庭生育数量的挤出效应尚不能得到证实。(2)相对收入对家庭生育数量的挤出效应在我国东部地区最为显著,具有明显的区域异质性和复杂性。(3)阶层、相对收入对我国家庭生育数量的影响机制在于,家庭对“优质”育儿资源的投资挤压了家庭的实际养育能力;与此同时,年轻人也往往面临“提升自己”和“培养孩子”的艰难抉择,加剧了阶层和相对收入对家庭生育数量的挤出效应。应缩小阶层和收入差距,推动实现共同富裕;应向家庭提供普惠型育儿资源和公共服务,推动育儿模式实现社会化、现代化转型。 展开更多
关键词 社会阶层 相对收入 生育数量 育儿资源 阶层固化 阶层跃迁 家庭养育
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论中国社会养老保险对城市居民收入变动的影响 被引量:4
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作者 徐梅 《经济经纬》 CSSCI 北大核心 2008年第4期87-89,共3页
笔者在研究的过程中,利用CHNS对中国城市居民的调查数据,将我国城市居民按各种人口特征进行分组,从动态的角度分析了家庭收入在个人生命中不同时期——工作期、退休期,以及从工作起进入到退休期的过程中的变动趋势,从而论述了中国社会... 笔者在研究的过程中,利用CHNS对中国城市居民的调查数据,将我国城市居民按各种人口特征进行分组,从动态的角度分析了家庭收入在个人生命中不同时期——工作期、退休期,以及从工作起进入到退休期的过程中的变动趋势,从而论述了中国社会养老保险体系对居民收入长期平等的影响,得到结论:中国社会养老保险短期内确实是家庭收入分配更平等,但长期内这种作用则不明显。我国社会养老保险体系的参数设计是一个十分值的认真研究的问题。 展开更多
关键词 收入变动 转换矩阵 社会养老保险
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经济转型中农户非正规收入风险处理机制的变迁 被引量:4
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作者 马小勇 白永秀 《财经科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第9期53-60,共8页
农户不仅追求收入的提高,而且要避免收入波动的风险。在正规风险规避机制缺失的情况下,农户在长期的实践中已经发展出一些非正规机制来处理风险。经济转型过程中的体制变化和结构变化使农村的社会经济面貌发生了巨大变化,导致了农户各... 农户不仅追求收入的提高,而且要避免收入波动的风险。在正规风险规避机制缺失的情况下,农户在长期的实践中已经发展出一些非正规机制来处理风险。经济转型过程中的体制变化和结构变化使农村的社会经济面貌发生了巨大变化,导致了农户各种非正规风险处理机制的变化。目前,农户不得不在很大程度上依靠事前的收入平滑机制来处理风险,有时甚至被迫承受风险所带来的不利后果,这会同时在效率和公平方面带来消极后果。 展开更多
关键词 经济转型 收入风险 非正规风险处理机制
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贸易开放、产出增长与收入结构优化——来自国家级高新区的经验证据 被引量:4
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作者 杨畅 白雪洁 《当代经济科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第4期91-101,127,共11页
本文重点考察了贸易开放对我国国家级高新区产出增长与收入结构的影响,运用2007-2010年我国54个国家级高新区的面板数据,采用两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)进行了实证分析,研究表明:与FDI的作用不同,在控制了其他影响因素后,贸易开放加剧了市... 本文重点考察了贸易开放对我国国家级高新区产出增长与收入结构的影响,运用2007-2010年我国54个国家级高新区的面板数据,采用两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)进行了实证分析,研究表明:与FDI的作用不同,在控制了其他影响因素后,贸易开放加剧了市场竞争,不利于高新区的产出增长;技术收入随着贸易开放度的提高而下降,高新区收入结构差距被拉大,稳健性检验结果表明该结论是可靠的。通过进一步的理论阐述,本文认为贸易的竞争挤占效应对高新区技术收入的影响较为显著,而在开放环境下高新区的收益转化作用并不明显,从某种意义上说,这并不利于高新区的发展与转型。这一结论对进一步明确我国高新区功能定位,培育企业在国际竞争下的的生存与适应能力具有尤为重要的政策含义。 展开更多
关键词 贸易开放 国家级高新区 产出 收入结构 发展转型
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Off-farm income promotes energy transition in the Pan-Third Pole cross-national region
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作者 Xiao-Qi ZHENG Xiang-Bo XU +2 位作者 Chang LI Chao FU Zhao-Yuan FAN 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第5期798-809,共12页
The Pan-Third Pole region comprises multiple nations affected by climate vulnerability and energy inequality,wherein promoting energy transitions in rural households would provide a path to combat climate change.Ident... The Pan-Third Pole region comprises multiple nations affected by climate vulnerability and energy inequality,wherein promoting energy transitions in rural households would provide a path to combat climate change.Identifying the factors that drive rural household energy consumption and the transition is important.This study performed a micro-survey of 1060 rural households in five countries in the Pan-Third Pole region and empirically analyzed the relationships between off-farm income,energy consumption,and energy transitions.The off-farm income of rural households was found to have a significantly positive effect(p<0.01)on energy expenditure,indicating that energy expenditure increased with increasing off-farm income.Off-farm income has a significantly positive effect(p<0.01)on the proportion of commercial energy but a significantly negative effect on the proportion of noncommercial energy.These results indicate that increasing off-farm income can adjust the energy consumption structure of rural households.Furthermore,a robustness check by substituting independent variables,instrumental variable method(IV),and propensity score matching method(PSM)provided strong evidence to prove the robustness of the results.The heterogeneity analysis showed that the effects of off-farm income on energy expenditure and transitions differed among countries,off-farm income had no significant impact on energy expenditure in Cambodia and Myanmar,but it worked for China,Nepal,and Thailand.Finally,policy implications are proposed to promote energy transition in the Pan-Third pole region:providing more full-time or part-time off-farm employment opportunities,employment assistance or skill training by local governments;increasing the pace of infrastructure construction to solve energy inaccessibility;multiple measures to promote the education and environmental knowledge. 展开更多
关键词 Off-farm income Rural household Energy consumption Energy transition Pan-Third Pole region
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中国城乡居民工资性收入与消费差距的实证研究——基于我国地级城市2000—2011年经验数据研究 被引量:4
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作者 张月朗 龚志民 《湘潭大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2017年第4期63-68,共6页
基于我国2000—2011年地级城市的经验数据,利用我国地级单位构成的大样本的面板数据,使用动态系统GMM方法实证研究城乡居民工资性收入与消费差距的内在关系。研究结果表明:随着我国城镇化进程的加快,工资性收入差距成为影响我国城乡消... 基于我国2000—2011年地级城市的经验数据,利用我国地级单位构成的大样本的面板数据,使用动态系统GMM方法实证研究城乡居民工资性收入与消费差距的内在关系。研究结果表明:随着我国城镇化进程的加快,工资性收入差距成为影响我国城乡消费的重要因素;而经济发展水平、工业化程度、城镇化、金融发展、教育水平、财产性收入、城市人口流入流出等因素对城乡居民工资性收入增长也具有内在关联性,进而会对城乡消费差距产生显著影响。因此,必须多措并举,扭转我国城乡经济发展水平、产业发展水平、金融发展以及教育水平的现实差距,积极推进新型城镇化,有效缩小城乡居民的工资性差距,进而抑制城乡消费差距不断扩大的趋势。 展开更多
关键词 城乡居民 工资性收入 民生 消费差距 经济转型
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中国城镇居民家庭收入流动性研究 被引量:2
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作者 万相昱 石雪梅 唐亮 《劳动经济研究》 CSSCI 2019年第2期42-59,共18页
利用中国家庭收入调查(CHIPs)数据,本文从收入跃迁的视角对中国城镇居民家庭的收入流动问题进行了量化研究。研究发现:以收入层级为参照系,家庭的收入流动性结构呈现倒U型分布,收入流动性水平先升后降;而以时间序列为参照系,家庭的收入... 利用中国家庭收入调查(CHIPs)数据,本文从收入跃迁的视角对中国城镇居民家庭的收入流动问题进行了量化研究。研究发现:以收入层级为参照系,家庭的收入流动性结构呈现倒U型分布,收入流动性水平先升后降;而以时间序列为参照系,家庭的收入流动性动态整体呈现下降趋势;同时,流动性质量轻度降低,表现为向上流动与向下流动的比值持续下降。在进一步对收入单层流动与多层流动的影响因素进行对比分析时发现,家庭收入跃迁机制呈现金字塔型的双向通行结构,表现为:家庭所处的收入阶层越高,向上跃迁的阻力越大;收入水平越低,向下跃迁的阻力越小。此外,教育投资是促进家庭向上跃迁与防止家庭向下跃迁的最有效的积极因素。 展开更多
关键词 收入流动 收入跃迁 收入转移矩阵
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Macroeconomic Regulation Not the Answer to Rocketing Housing Prices 被引量:1
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作者 金碚 《China Economist》 2007年第6期12-17,共6页
Resident income inequality has widened drastically within a short timeframe in the process of transition. From a static point of view, there is a combination of three factors underpinning the widening of the resident ... Resident income inequality has widened drastically within a short timeframe in the process of transition. From a static point of view, there is a combination of three factors underpinning the widening of the resident income gap. Such factors include a) the variation in quantity of factors of production accumulated during the planned economy era; b) the difference between localities in respect of starting points at different historical stages along their varying paths of evolution; c) the illegal and abnormal income stemming from institutional loopholes and policy deficiencies. From a dynamic point of view, there are three root causes underlying resident income gap expansion. Firstly, the privileged group has been continuing to benefit from an increasingly large share of institutional transition returns by exerting influence over the path of evolution; secondly, the underprivileged group has lost their ability to capture income on a sustainable basis due to the lack of a mechanism to express their interests; thirdly, public policies are not designed or enforced well enough to regulate income inequality. Given the significant effects of excess income disparity on economic performance and social stability, it is thus imperative to hold the income gap in check in light of the societal reality of the transitional stage. 展开更多
关键词 income INEQUALITY Economic transition Root of CONTINUITY REGULATORY policy.
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中国农村居民代际收入流动性趋势及质量研究 被引量:2
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作者 曹俊文 刘志红 《统计与信息论坛》 CSSCI 北大核心 2018年第3期58-64,共7页
采用中国家庭收入项目调查(CHIPS)数据,基于收入转换矩阵,测算了中国农村居民代际收入流动性大小和趋势,并对代际收入流动性质量进行了探讨。研究发现:农村居民代际收入流动性较高,主要是源于中间收入阶层在相邻阶层短距离位置变动,而... 采用中国家庭收入项目调查(CHIPS)数据,基于收入转换矩阵,测算了中国农村居民代际收入流动性大小和趋势,并对代际收入流动性质量进行了探讨。研究发现:农村居民代际收入流动性较高,主要是源于中间收入阶层在相邻阶层短距离位置变动,而两端收入阶层则相对封闭,代际收入流动性总体呈倒"U"型趋势特征;农村居民代际收入流动性不利于子代收入的改善,不利于中等收入阶层的形成与巩固,持续贫困率和持续富有率较高,两极分化趋势明显,农村居民代际收入流动性质量偏低。 展开更多
关键词 农村居民 代际收入 流动性质量 转换矩阵
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The Rise of China's Global Middle Class in an International Context 被引量:1
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作者 Terry Sicular Xiuna Yang Bjorn Gustafsson 《China & World Economy》 2022年第1期5-27,共23页
We estimate the size of the global middle class in China and 33 other countries and analyze China’s expanding middle class in an international context.The“ghbal middle class”is defined in terms of being neither poo... We estimate the size of the global middle class in China and 33 other countries and analyze China’s expanding middle class in an international context.The“ghbal middle class”is defined in terms of being neither poor nor rich in the developed world.China’s global middle class has grown rapidly and has been catching up with the middle class in developed countries.By 2018 China’s global middle class constituted 25 percent of China s population;in absolute size it was nearly double the size of the global middle class in the US and was similar in size to that of Europe.Cross-country analysis of the relationship between the middle-class share of the total population and GDP per capita reveals an inverted-U pattern.China is not an outlier from the cross-country pattern but the speed with which its middle-class has expanded is unusual.The only other countries with similarly large,rapid expansions of the middle class are transition economies. 展开更多
关键词 China income distribution middle class transition
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我国行业收入流动性研究
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作者 张芝 《西安财经学院学报》 CSSCI 2014年第1期40-44,共5页
文章运用1986-2011年行业宏观数据,采用收入转换矩阵和收入流动性指数对我国行业收入流动性进行研究。结果发现:随着时间的推移,行业收入流动性呈现出不断下降趋势,并且行业收入流动性质量不高;影响行业收入流动性的因素主要有行业垄断... 文章运用1986-2011年行业宏观数据,采用收入转换矩阵和收入流动性指数对我国行业收入流动性进行研究。结果发现:随着时间的推移,行业收入流动性呈现出不断下降趋势,并且行业收入流动性质量不高;影响行业收入流动性的因素主要有行业垄断程度、行业人力资本和行业层次水平等。 展开更多
关键词 行业收入 转换矩阵 收入流动性 收入分配
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Economic Growth alone Cannot Solve Income Gap Widening
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作者 林金忠 王莹 《China Economist》 2007年第6期62-71,共10页
Resident income inequality has widened drastically within a short timeframe during the process of transition. From a static point of view, there is a combination of three factors underpinning the widening of the resid... Resident income inequality has widened drastically within a short timeframe during the process of transition. From a static point of view, there is a combination of three factors underpinning the widening of the resident income gap. Such factors include a) the variation in quantity of factors of production accumulated during the planned economic regime; b) the difference between localities in respect of starting points at different historical stages along their varying paths of evolution; c) the illegal and abnormal income stemming from institutional loopholes and policy deficiencies. From a dynamic point of view, there are three root causes underlying resident income gap expansion. Firstly, the privileged group has been continuing to benefit from an increasingly large share of institutional transition returns by exerting influence over the path of evolution; secondly, the underprivileged group has lost their ability to capture income on a sustainable basis due to the lack of a mechanism to express their interests; thirdly, public policies are not designed or enforced well enough to regulate income inequality. Given the significant effects of excess income disparity on economic performance and social stability, it is thus imperative to hold the income gap in check in light of the societal reality of the transitional stage. 展开更多
关键词 income INEQUALITY Economic transition Root of CONTINUITY Regulatory policy.
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Shandong Plans to Cultivate Two Aluminum Industry Groups with Sales Income Topping 100 billion yuan Within Three Years
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《China Nonferrous Metals Monthly》 2015年第2期6-7,共2页
Recently,Shandong Province unveiled"Nonferrous Industry Transition and Upgrading Plan",which proposed that by 2017 it would cultivate 2 ultra large aluminum industry groups with sales income topping 100 bill... Recently,Shandong Province unveiled"Nonferrous Industry Transition and Upgrading Plan",which proposed that by 2017 it would cultivate 2 ultra large aluminum industry groups with sales income topping 100 billion yuan,aluminum capacity will be reduced to 9million tonnes;before 2020 it will no longer add new capacity. 展开更多
关键词 SHANDONG income transition nonferrous SMELTING con
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Market Transition and Income Inequality in Urban China: Evidence from Shapley Value Decomposition
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作者 Chunjin Chen Shi Li 《Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities》 2014年第2期309-337,共29页
China's market-oriented reform is expected to strengthen the role of the market in allocating resources, which raises concerns over the impact of market transformation on income distribution and earnings inequality i... China's market-oriented reform is expected to strengthen the role of the market in allocating resources, which raises concerns over the impact of market transformation on income distribution and earnings inequality in the past decades. This paper decomposes the sources of inequality based on the newly developed Shapley value approach and examines the contributions of the market, along with other nonmarket factors, to total inequality. Using the China Health and Nutrition Survey data over the period 1989-2009, we find that the income gap between laborers with a higher level of education and those with a lower level has widened since the transformational reforms of the economy. Our results suggest that the largest contribution of changes in income inequality can be attributed to the increase in returns to education, while the relative contributions of the household registration (hukou) system, type of sector ownership, geographic location, and gender to inequality experienced a downward trend between 1989 and 2009. The authors argue that rising income inequality is the consequence of efficiency improvements and an imperfect economic system, and that the market is a decisive force in economic development as it releases competitive signals and creates incentive mechanisms for innovation. Creating a more efficient labor market and increasing investment in human capital, particularly equalizing educational opportunities and improving the quality of education in lagging rural and inland regions to disadvantaged groups, are significant for an equitable distribution of income and sustainable development in the long run. 展开更多
关键词 market transition income inequality Shapley value decomposition JELClassification
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中国货币政策的分配效应研究 被引量:1
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作者 傅勇 孙国良 《新金融评论》 2018年第3期151-183,共33页
货币政策并非分配意义上的中性,其分配效应取决于经济中的所有权结构、收益率分布、市场摩擦、转轨因素等异质性和专用性条件。本文研究表明,扩张性货币政策增加掌握生产性资本和土地剩余价值群体的收入,减少依赖于工资、固定利息群体... 货币政策并非分配意义上的中性,其分配效应取决于经济中的所有权结构、收益率分布、市场摩擦、转轨因素等异质性和专用性条件。本文研究表明,扩张性货币政策增加掌握生产性资本和土地剩余价值群体的收入,减少依赖于工资、固定利息群体的收入,从而扩大收入差距;抬升资产价格、减少债务负担,减少以银行储蓄为主群体的实际财富;在中国金融基础设施发展不完善、股票市场不成熟、债务融资为主、城镇化率较低、房地产市场发展不均衡以及劳动力流动程度依然较低的情况下,扩张性货币冲击往往有利于经济发展较好的地区。 展开更多
关键词 货币政策 收入分配 财富分配 经济转轨
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