We consider a continuous time risk model based on a two state Markov process, in which after an exponentially distributed time, the claim frequency changes to a different level and can change back again in the same wa...We consider a continuous time risk model based on a two state Markov process, in which after an exponentially distributed time, the claim frequency changes to a different level and can change back again in the same way. We derive the Laplace transform for the first passage time to surplus zero from a given negative surplus and for the duration of negative surplus. Closed-form expressions are given in the case of exponential individual claim. Finally, numerical results are provided to show how to estimate the moments of duration of negative surplus.展开更多
In this paper we consider the Markov-dependent risk model with tax payments in which the claim occurrence, the claim amount as well as the tax rate are controlled by an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain. Systems ...In this paper we consider the Markov-dependent risk model with tax payments in which the claim occurrence, the claim amount as well as the tax rate are controlled by an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain. Systems of integro-differential equations satisfied by the expected discounted tax payments and the non-ruin probability in terms of the ruin probabilities under the Markov-dependent risk model without tax are established. The analytical solutions of the systems of integro-differential equations are also obtained by the iteration method.展开更多
In this paper, we consider a compound Poisson risk model with taxes paid according to a loss-carry-forward system and dividends paid under a threshold strategy. First, the closed-form expression of the probability fun...In this paper, we consider a compound Poisson risk model with taxes paid according to a loss-carry-forward system and dividends paid under a threshold strategy. First, the closed-form expression of the probability function for the total number of taxation periods over the lifetime of the surplus process is derived. Second, analytical expression of the expected accumulated discounted dividends paid between two consecutive taxation periods is provided. In addition, explicit expressions are also given for the exponential individual claims.展开更多
In this paper, the absolute ruin in the compound Poisson risk model with interest and a constant dividend barrier is investigated. First, integro-differential equations satisfied by the expected discounted dividend pa...In this paper, the absolute ruin in the compound Poisson risk model with interest and a constant dividend barrier is investigated. First, integro-differential equations satisfied by the expected discounted dividend payments are derived. The explicit expressions are obtained when the individual claim size is exponential distributed. Second, the moment generating function of the discounted dividends is considered, and integro-differential equations satisfied by the moment generating function of the discounted dividends are derived. Third, by a ＂differential＂ argument, the time to recovery to zero from a given negative surplus is considered. Finally, how long it takes for the surplus process to reach the dividend barrier is discussed.展开更多
Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and com...Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and compare ruin probabilities. The infinite ruin probabilities of two-compound Poisson risk process have estimated and compared them with standard theoretical results.展开更多
基金Supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Ministry of Education of China
文摘We consider a continuous time risk model based on a two state Markov process, in which after an exponentially distributed time, the claim frequency changes to a different level and can change back again in the same way. We derive the Laplace transform for the first passage time to surplus zero from a given negative surplus and for the duration of negative surplus. Closed-form expressions are given in the case of exponential individual claim. Finally, numerical results are provided to show how to estimate the moments of duration of negative surplus.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11401498)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(WUT:2015IVA066)
文摘In this paper we consider the Markov-dependent risk model with tax payments in which the claim occurrence, the claim amount as well as the tax rate are controlled by an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain. Systems of integro-differential equations satisfied by the expected discounted tax payments and the non-ruin probability in terms of the ruin probabilities under the Markov-dependent risk model without tax are established. The analytical solutions of the systems of integro-differential equations are also obtained by the iteration method.
基金Supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China, the Guangdong Natural Science Foundation (S2011010004511)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China (201120102020005)
文摘In this paper, we consider a compound Poisson risk model with taxes paid according to a loss-carry-forward system and dividends paid under a threshold strategy. First, the closed-form expression of the probability function for the total number of taxation periods over the lifetime of the surplus process is derived. Second, analytical expression of the expected accumulated discounted dividends paid between two consecutive taxation periods is provided. In addition, explicit expressions are also given for the exponential individual claims.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (10971157)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
文摘In this paper, the absolute ruin in the compound Poisson risk model with interest and a constant dividend barrier is investigated. First, integro-differential equations satisfied by the expected discounted dividend payments are derived. The explicit expressions are obtained when the individual claim size is exponential distributed. Second, the moment generating function of the discounted dividends is considered, and integro-differential equations satisfied by the moment generating function of the discounted dividends are derived. Third, by a ＂differential＂ argument, the time to recovery to zero from a given negative surplus is considered. Finally, how long it takes for the surplus process to reach the dividend barrier is discussed.
文摘Compound Poisson risk model has been simulated. It has started with exponential claim sizes. The simulations have checked for infinite ruin probabilities. An appropriate time window has been chosen to estimate and compare ruin probabilities. The infinite ruin probabilities of two-compound Poisson risk process have estimated and compared them with standard theoretical results.
基金Supported by Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province(No.20132BAB211010No.20142BAB211015)+1 种基金Innovation Foundation of Jiangxi Provincial Department of Education,Research Training Program of Nanchang Institute of Technology"Challenge Cup" Academic Science and Technology Work Competition of Nanchang Institute of Technology~~
