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北极东北航线经济性分析——以集装箱船运输为例 被引量:9
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作者 刘益迎 范厚明 郭阳 《上海海事大学学报》 北大核心 2016年第1期13-18,31,共7页
气候变暖促使连接欧亚的北极东北航线(Northeast Passage,NEP)逐渐开通,由于集装箱海运为西欧与东亚间的海运贸易的主要部分,故以集装箱船运输为例分析NEP的经济性.对NEP经济性的相关研究文献进行梳理,对其存在问题进行分析.依据NEP和... 气候变暖促使连接欧亚的北极东北航线(Northeast Passage,NEP)逐渐开通,由于集装箱海运为西欧与东亚间的海运贸易的主要部分,故以集装箱船运输为例分析NEP的经济性.对NEP经济性的相关研究文献进行梳理,对其存在问题进行分析.依据NEP和苏伊士运河航线特征,确定经济性分析模型的各参数,模拟集装箱船在这两条航线的必要运费率和利润,并对其进行比较分析.对运价变动引起的利润变化进行损益分析,对燃油价格、NSR通行费率和舱位利用率的变化进行灵敏度分析.虽然NEP在必要运费率上高于苏伊士运河航线,但在考虑收入因素之后,NEP集装箱运输可获得更多的利润.研究成果可丰富北极的相关理论研究,为我国北极航线海运相关决策提供理论依据. 展开更多
关键词 北极东北航线 苏伊士运河航线 集装箱船运输 经济性分析
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Analysis of sea ice conditions and navigability in the Arctic Northeast Passage during the summer from 2002-2021
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作者 Xiaoping Pang Chenlei Zhang +4 位作者 Qing Ji Yizhuo Chen Zeng Zhen Yamin Zhu Zhongnan Yan 《Geo-Spatial Information Science》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第3期465-479,共15页
The decreasing of Arctic sea ice is projected to continue with global warming,which makes the summer navigation conditions of the Arctic improve.Based on the multi-source remote-sensing data with inter-sensor calibrat... The decreasing of Arctic sea ice is projected to continue with global warming,which makes the summer navigation conditions of the Arctic improve.Based on the multi-source remote-sensing data with inter-sensor calibration processing and the ship-based observational data from R/V Xuelong and M/V Yongsheng,the sea ice conditions of the Arctic Northeast Passage(NEP)during the 2002-2021 summer seasons were analyzed,and the navigability of the NEP between July and October from 2002 to 2021 was discussed.Inter-sensor calibration could effectively reduce the deviation from different passive microwave data.Sea ice extent and thickness in the NEP decreased annually,which resulted in the navigability of the NEP showing a potential tendency toward improvement in navigability.The navigation period was mainly concentrated in early August to early October.The middle part of the NEP was primarily affected by sea ice.This influence decreased over time,while the navigation period increased,especially in the Vilkitsky Strait,which is a key shipping area.This analysis of sea ice conditions and navigability in the past 20 years could provide a reference for future scientific investigations and aid in merchant ship navigation in the Arctic summer. 展开更多
关键词 Arctic northeast passage(nep) inter-calibration sea ice thickness sea ice extent navigability
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