2014年11月22日四川康定发生Ms6.3级地震,综合震源机制解、余震分布、区域断裂展布及震前对区域断裂的野外详细调查研究,发现本次地震的发震断裂是鲜水河断裂带色拉哈段.但对色拉哈段的古地震背景还缺乏深入了解,依据遥感解译、野外考察...2014年11月22日四川康定发生Ms6.3级地震,综合震源机制解、余震分布、区域断裂展布及震前对区域断裂的野外详细调查研究,发现本次地震的发震断裂是鲜水河断裂带色拉哈段.但对色拉哈段的古地震背景还缺乏深入了解,依据遥感解译、野外考察、4个探槽的开挖、测年样品采集测试等古地震研究技术,综合研究表明:(1)鲜水河断裂带色拉哈段全新世以来发生过多次地表破裂型古地震事件,色拉哈段上最新一次地表破裂型古地震事件的发生时间为2027~2359 a BP,在本段上发生康定Ms6.3级地震或更强烈的地震事件丝毫不让人意外;(2)色拉哈段上全新世以来的古地震事件表现出明显的丛集期和平静期相间的特征,在6812~11316 a BP之间表现出明显的丛集特征,复发周期1000 a左右,而在6812 a BP以来仅在3840~4295和2027~2359 a BP之间发生两次古地震事件,复发间隔明显变长.展开更多
The mathematic theory of Brownian passage-time model and its difference from other recurrence models such as Poisson, lognormal, gamma and Weibull, were introduced. We assessed and analyzed the earthquake probabiliti...The mathematic theory of Brownian passage-time model and its difference from other recurrence models such as Poisson, lognormal, gamma and Weibull, were introduced. We assessed and analyzed the earthquake probabilities of the major faults with the elapsed time much greater than the recurrence interval in the northwest region of Bei- jing (China) in 100-year by using both Brownian passage-time model and Poisson model, and concluded that the calculated results obtained from Brownian passage-time model is more reasonable.展开更多
The situation of mine development in coal industry of China and the method of shaft freezing in the type of double ring freezing pipe used for shaft sinking under thick alluvium condition are briefly reviewed. The equ...The situation of mine development in coal industry of China and the method of shaft freezing in the type of double ring freezing pipe used for shaft sinking under thick alluvium condition are briefly reviewed. The equations of heat conduction are numerically solved for two kinds of artificial shaft freezing-sin-gle and double ring freezing pipe pattern. A two-dimensional finite difference model simulating the temperature field is developed. The paper introduces a way to calculate the harmonic mean of heat conductivety used when dealing with heterogeneous material, The theoretically derived temperature distributions in frozen soil are given and the comparison is made between two types of freezing pipe arrangement. The optimization technique of a general simulation is discussed, and that is in use to improve the thermal system in shaft freezing.展开更多
文摘2014年11月22日四川康定发生Ms6.3级地震,综合震源机制解、余震分布、区域断裂展布及震前对区域断裂的野外详细调查研究,发现本次地震的发震断裂是鲜水河断裂带色拉哈段.但对色拉哈段的古地震背景还缺乏深入了解,依据遥感解译、野外考察、4个探槽的开挖、测年样品采集测试等古地震研究技术,综合研究表明:(1)鲜水河断裂带色拉哈段全新世以来发生过多次地表破裂型古地震事件,色拉哈段上最新一次地表破裂型古地震事件的发生时间为2027~2359 a BP,在本段上发生康定Ms6.3级地震或更强烈的地震事件丝毫不让人意外;(2)色拉哈段上全新世以来的古地震事件表现出明显的丛集期和平静期相间的特征,在6812~11316 a BP之间表现出明显的丛集特征,复发周期1000 a左右,而在6812 a BP以来仅在3840~4295和2027~2359 a BP之间发生两次古地震事件,复发间隔明显变长.
基金Joint Seismological Science Foundation of China (103034) and Key Project ″Assessment of Seismic Safety″ from China Earthquake Administration during the tenth Five-year Plan.
文摘The mathematic theory of Brownian passage-time model and its difference from other recurrence models such as Poisson, lognormal, gamma and Weibull, were introduced. We assessed and analyzed the earthquake probabilities of the major faults with the elapsed time much greater than the recurrence interval in the northwest region of Bei- jing (China) in 100-year by using both Brownian passage-time model and Poisson model, and concluded that the calculated results obtained from Brownian passage-time model is more reasonable.
文摘The situation of mine development in coal industry of China and the method of shaft freezing in the type of double ring freezing pipe used for shaft sinking under thick alluvium condition are briefly reviewed. The equations of heat conduction are numerically solved for two kinds of artificial shaft freezing-sin-gle and double ring freezing pipe pattern. A two-dimensional finite difference model simulating the temperature field is developed. The paper introduces a way to calculate the harmonic mean of heat conductivety used when dealing with heterogeneous material, The theoretically derived temperature distributions in frozen soil are given and the comparison is made between two types of freezing pipe arrangement. The optimization technique of a general simulation is discussed, and that is in use to improve the thermal system in shaft freezing.