A record-breaking extreme heavy snowfall(EHS)event hit northern China during 6–8 November 2021,with two maximum snowfall centers in North China(NC)and Northeast China(NEC),which inflicted severe socioeconomic impacts...A record-breaking extreme heavy snowfall(EHS)event hit northern China during 6–8 November 2021,with two maximum snowfall centers in North China(NC)and Northeast China(NEC),which inflicted severe socioeconomic impacts.This paper compares the differences in the synoptic processes and moisture supply associated with the EHS event in NC and NEC,as well as the atmospheric circulation anomalies before the event,to provide a reference for better prediction and forecasting of EHS in northern China.Synoptic analyses show that a positively tilted,inverted 500-hPa trough channeled cold-air outbreaks into NC,while dynamic updrafts along the front below the trough promoted moisture convergence over this region.In NEC,the dynamic updraft south of the frontogenesis region firstly triggered a low-level Yellow–Bohai Sea cyclone,which then converged with the 500-hPa trough to ultimately form an NEC cold vortex.Calculation of the vorticity tendency indicates that absolute vorticity advection was a better indicator than absolute vorticity divergence for the movement of the trough/ridge at the synoptic scale.Moreover,NOAA’s HYSPLIT(Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory)model results reveal that the moisture for the EHS over NC mainly originated from the mid-to-low levels over the Asian–African region and the Eurasian mid-to-high latitudes,accounting for 32%and 31%,respectively.In contrast,the source of water vapor for the EHS over NEC was mainly the Eurasian mid-to-high latitudes and East Asia,with contributions of 38%and 28%,respectively.The findings of this study shed some fresh light on the distinctive contributions of different moisture sources to local precipitation.Further analyses of the atmospheric circulation anomalies in October reveal that a phase shift in the Arctic Oscillation related to the weakening of the polar vortex could have served as a useful indicator for the cold-air outbreaks in this EHS event.展开更多
The objective here is to assess the atmospheric evaluations with respect to the perilous hailstorm phenomenon in Tehran. To accomplish this study, the available data regarding 9 (WW) present weather codes that reveal ...The objective here is to assess the atmospheric evaluations with respect to the perilous hailstorm phenomenon in Tehran. To accomplish this study, the available data regarding 9 (WW) present weather codes that reveal the hailstorm phenomenon with different intensities in 3 hrs observations for 6 meteorological stations of Tehran and vicinity for the period between 1985-2015 are applied. It is revealed that hail occurrence in Tehran is at its maximum in transition seasons of spring and fall between the hrs. 6 - 18 (UTC). It is found that the instability indexes intensify in the afternoon with a higher atmospheric flotation indicative of the possibility in occurrence of thunder hailstorm. Synoptic assessments point to the fact that the synoptic pattern created this thunder storm due to expansion of two: low-pressure cores over Arabia and North-Europe and the cold high-pressure over South Russia with a NS orientation have developed an intense pressure gradient over Tehran province. The study area being located at the left exit of sub-tropical jet stream has made a Baroclinic atmosphere condition on Tehran province. Access to great humidity resources of Mediterranean and Black seas and a drastic decrease of temperature at the upper level of the cloud verifies the hail occurrence on March 30th of 2015 in Tehran.展开更多
This paper discusses the stability structure and the bifurcation of phase path characteristics of synoptic scale system.The analytic results show that the catastrophe of the synoptic scale disturbance may be caused by...This paper discusses the stability structure and the bifurcation of phase path characteristics of synoptic scale system.The analytic results show that the catastrophe of the synoptic scale disturbance may be caused by the nonlinear effects of barotropic and baroclinic instability and advection of ambient large-scale flow.Also, foregoing nonlinear effects on the speed of development and decay of the system are presented in the processes deviating from or approaching to equilibrium state.It has been found that there is a resonance phenomenon between the time-oscillation of heat source and the atmospheric disturbance.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2018YFC1505604)Innovation and Development Project of China Meteorological Administration(CXFZ2021J022).
文摘A record-breaking extreme heavy snowfall(EHS)event hit northern China during 6–8 November 2021,with two maximum snowfall centers in North China(NC)and Northeast China(NEC),which inflicted severe socioeconomic impacts.This paper compares the differences in the synoptic processes and moisture supply associated with the EHS event in NC and NEC,as well as the atmospheric circulation anomalies before the event,to provide a reference for better prediction and forecasting of EHS in northern China.Synoptic analyses show that a positively tilted,inverted 500-hPa trough channeled cold-air outbreaks into NC,while dynamic updrafts along the front below the trough promoted moisture convergence over this region.In NEC,the dynamic updraft south of the frontogenesis region firstly triggered a low-level Yellow–Bohai Sea cyclone,which then converged with the 500-hPa trough to ultimately form an NEC cold vortex.Calculation of the vorticity tendency indicates that absolute vorticity advection was a better indicator than absolute vorticity divergence for the movement of the trough/ridge at the synoptic scale.Moreover,NOAA’s HYSPLIT(Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory)model results reveal that the moisture for the EHS over NC mainly originated from the mid-to-low levels over the Asian–African region and the Eurasian mid-to-high latitudes,accounting for 32%and 31%,respectively.In contrast,the source of water vapor for the EHS over NEC was mainly the Eurasian mid-to-high latitudes and East Asia,with contributions of 38%and 28%,respectively.The findings of this study shed some fresh light on the distinctive contributions of different moisture sources to local precipitation.Further analyses of the atmospheric circulation anomalies in October reveal that a phase shift in the Arctic Oscillation related to the weakening of the polar vortex could have served as a useful indicator for the cold-air outbreaks in this EHS event.
文摘The objective here is to assess the atmospheric evaluations with respect to the perilous hailstorm phenomenon in Tehran. To accomplish this study, the available data regarding 9 (WW) present weather codes that reveal the hailstorm phenomenon with different intensities in 3 hrs observations for 6 meteorological stations of Tehran and vicinity for the period between 1985-2015 are applied. It is revealed that hail occurrence in Tehran is at its maximum in transition seasons of spring and fall between the hrs. 6 - 18 (UTC). It is found that the instability indexes intensify in the afternoon with a higher atmospheric flotation indicative of the possibility in occurrence of thunder hailstorm. Synoptic assessments point to the fact that the synoptic pattern created this thunder storm due to expansion of two: low-pressure cores over Arabia and North-Europe and the cold high-pressure over South Russia with a NS orientation have developed an intense pressure gradient over Tehran province. The study area being located at the left exit of sub-tropical jet stream has made a Baroclinic atmosphere condition on Tehran province. Access to great humidity resources of Mediterranean and Black seas and a drastic decrease of temperature at the upper level of the cloud verifies the hail occurrence on March 30th of 2015 in Tehran.
文摘This paper discusses the stability structure and the bifurcation of phase path characteristics of synoptic scale system.The analytic results show that the catastrophe of the synoptic scale disturbance may be caused by the nonlinear effects of barotropic and baroclinic instability and advection of ambient large-scale flow.Also, foregoing nonlinear effects on the speed of development and decay of the system are presented in the processes deviating from or approaching to equilibrium state.It has been found that there is a resonance phenomenon between the time-oscillation of heat source and the atmospheric disturbance.
