变流器有限控制集模型预测控制(finite control setmodel predictive control,FCS-MPC)算法是一种变流器优化控制算法。该算法具有动态响应快、处理系统约束灵活且无需PWM调制器和相关参数设计等优点,但仅可确保所选开关函数组合在一个...变流器有限控制集模型预测控制(finite control setmodel predictive control,FCS-MPC)算法是一种变流器优化控制算法。该算法具有动态响应快、处理系统约束灵活且无需PWM调制器和相关参数设计等优点,但仅可确保所选开关函数组合在一个控制周期内的最优,这样将使得系统控制趋于保守,而影响系统控制性能。分析传统变流器FCS-MPC算法的保守性,提出一种在一个控制周期内同时考虑最优开关函数组合及次优开关函数组合,并确保在两个控制周期内所选开关函数组合最优的多步预测的FCS-MPC算法(finitecontrol set model predictive control with multi-step prediction,FCS-MPCMSP);进行采用该算法的两电平三相电压型逆变器在空载、带阻感性负载、带非线性负载及负载投入等工况下的仿真和实验。仿真及实验结果表明:采用该算法的三相电压型逆变器输出电压与给定电压的差值明显小于采用传统FCS-MPC算法的情况,改善了逆变器输出电压质量,从而验证了该算法的有效性及可行性。展开更多
Day-ahead wind power forecasting plays an essential role in the safe and economic use of wind energy,the comprehending-intrinsic complexity of the behavior of wind is considered as the main challenge faced in improvin...Day-ahead wind power forecasting plays an essential role in the safe and economic use of wind energy,the comprehending-intrinsic complexity of the behavior of wind is considered as the main challenge faced in improving forecasting accuracy.To improve forecasting accuracy,this paper focuses on two aspects:①proposing a novel hybrid method using Boosting algorithm and a multistep forecast approach to improve the forecasting capacity of traditional ARMA model;②calculating the existing error bounds of the proposed method.To validate the effectiveness of the novel hybrid method,one-year period of real data are used for test,which were collected from three operating wind farms in the east coast of Jiangsu Province,China.Meanwhile conventional ARMA model and persistence model are both used as benchmarks with which the proposed method is compared.Test results show that the proposed method achieves a more accurate forecast.展开更多
文摘变流器有限控制集模型预测控制(finite control setmodel predictive control,FCS-MPC)算法是一种变流器优化控制算法。该算法具有动态响应快、处理系统约束灵活且无需PWM调制器和相关参数设计等优点,但仅可确保所选开关函数组合在一个控制周期内的最优,这样将使得系统控制趋于保守,而影响系统控制性能。分析传统变流器FCS-MPC算法的保守性,提出一种在一个控制周期内同时考虑最优开关函数组合及次优开关函数组合,并确保在两个控制周期内所选开关函数组合最优的多步预测的FCS-MPC算法(finitecontrol set model predictive control with multi-step prediction,FCS-MPCMSP);进行采用该算法的两电平三相电压型逆变器在空载、带阻感性负载、带非线性负载及负载投入等工况下的仿真和实验。仿真及实验结果表明:采用该算法的三相电压型逆变器输出电压与给定电压的差值明显小于采用传统FCS-MPC算法的情况,改善了逆变器输出电压质量,从而验证了该算法的有效性及可行性。
基金supported by the National High Technology Research and Development of China (863 Program) (No. 2012AA050214)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51077043)the State Grid Corporation of China (Impact research of source-grid-load interaction on operation and control of future power system)
文摘Day-ahead wind power forecasting plays an essential role in the safe and economic use of wind energy,the comprehending-intrinsic complexity of the behavior of wind is considered as the main challenge faced in improving forecasting accuracy.To improve forecasting accuracy,this paper focuses on two aspects:①proposing a novel hybrid method using Boosting algorithm and a multistep forecast approach to improve the forecasting capacity of traditional ARMA model;②calculating the existing error bounds of the proposed method.To validate the effectiveness of the novel hybrid method,one-year period of real data are used for test,which were collected from three operating wind farms in the east coast of Jiangsu Province,China.Meanwhile conventional ARMA model and persistence model are both used as benchmarks with which the proposed method is compared.Test results show that the proposed method achieves a more accurate forecast.
