摘要
本文通过查阅并整理碳排放相关资料,在现有的研究基础上,依托SuperMap空间插值法制作出2020年中国31省市春、夏、秋、冬的二氧化碳排放量的空间分布图和数理统计分析碳排放量年变化,探究全国31省市近十年碳排放时间变化的趋势以及2020年碳排放量与季节变化的关系,发现中国各省市在二氧化碳排放上存在明显的区域差异,东部沿海地区在一年四季中二氧化碳排放量都位居前列,另外时间上大体的趋势是在2011~2019年逐渐增加,部分省市在2019~2020年中二氧化碳的排放量又大幅减少。最后在此基础上建立灰色预测模型,得出继2020年后的5年中国二氧化碳总体排放量下降,但都稍高于2020年的结果。
This article, by reviewing and organizing carbon emission-related data, and based on existing re-search, utilizes the SuperMap spatial interpolation method to create spatial distribution maps and mathematical statistical analysis of carbon dioxide emissions in the spring, summer, autumn, and winter of 31 provinces and cities in China in 2020. It explores the trend of carbon emissions over the past decade and the relationship between carbon emissions and seasonal changes in 2020, It has been found that there are significant regional differences in carbon dioxide emissions among various provinces and cities in China. The eastern coastal region ranks among the top in carbon dioxide emissions throughout the year. Additionally, the overall trend over time is gradually in-creasing from 2011 to 2019, with some provinces and cities experiencing a significant decrease in carbon dioxide emissions from 2019 to 2020. Finally, a grey prediction model was established based on this, and it was found that the overall carbon dioxide emissions in China have decreased over the past five years after 2020, but all slightly higher than the results of 2020.
出处
《环境保护前沿》
2023年第6期1345-1353,共9页
Advances in Environmental Protection
