摘要
本文检视了民意调查对研究中国政权韧性的独特贡献,它描述了中国自改革开放以来民意调查研究兴起的历史发展脉络以及这些研究如何揭示一些'意外'并有趣的发现。具而言之,这些发现分别是民众之间彼此存在高度的人际信任,公民政治积极性也很高,政府对民众需求具有高度的回应性以及人民对中国共产党始终表现出高度的拥护和支持等。这些基于民意调查的'意外'发现一反西方主流观点的直觉,因此也在其阵营中引起了相当程度的争议,但是要挑战这些发现只能通过更可靠的经验证据而不能只是出于意识形态的偏见。
This paper examines how public opinion contributes to authoritarian resilience in China. It describes the historical development of public opinion survey research in post-Mao China,and how such research reveals some unexpected and interesting findings. Specifically,these findings are related to the anti-democratic nature of the urban protests,the high level of interpersonal trust,citizen political activism,government responsiveness to public demand,and the popular support of the Chinese Communist Party. These 'surprise'findings are often counter-intuitive and highly controversial,but they should only be challenged by credible empirical evidence,not by pre-conceived ideological biases.
作者
唐文方
杨端程
Tang Wenfang;University of Iowa
出处
《中国政治学》
2019年第1期41-56,230,共17页
CHINESE POLITICAL SCIENCE
关键词
民意
政权韧性
有争议的政治
人际信任
政治积极性
政府回应性
政治支持
public opinion
authoritarian resilience
contentious politics
interpersonal trust
political activism
government responsiveness
political support
