摘要
通过对太湖流域平望水位和米市渡潮位过程及其影响因子的研究,提出了潮位过程的平均潮位、潮差、潮位过程平移、潮位过程分解与重建等概念,并用简单实用的统计相关方法建立了平望水位和米市渡潮位过程预报模型;用1996-1999年汛期(5月1日-9月30日)的水文观测资料对所建立的模型进行了率定,率定结果表明,所建立的模型具有一定的预报精度、对太湖流域洪水预报调度具有重要的参考作用.
By studying on Pingwang water level and Mishidu tide level Hydrograph in Taihu Basin and their impacting factors, the concepts, ranges, moving and the decomposition as well as the reconstruction of the averaged tide level hydrograph are put forward. With the method of the statistics correlation, the forecasting models of the Pingwang water level and Mishidu tide level hydrograph are developed. Using the measuring data in flood season from 1996 to 1999, the forecasting model are calibrated, and the results of the calibrating are satisfactory. The methods proposed in this paper are useful to the flood forecasting and controlling in Taihu basin.
出处
《湖泊科学》
EI
CAS
CSCD
2003年第3期229-235,共7页
Journal of Lake Sciences
