摘要
针对国内城镇种类及其地域多样性的特点 ,提出了一种适合各自情况的垃圾产生量预测模式 .该模式的基本思想是 :在几个可用的预测模型中 ,结合自身经济发展趋势 ,确保一定的预测精度 ,选取对未来最有预测能力的模型 ,最后利用所选模型的建立方法建立合适的垃圾产生量预测模型 .实例分析表明 ,该方法适合于城镇垃圾产生量的短期预测 。
In order to forecast the output of the Municipal Solid waste (MSW) properly, a suitable pattern based on the local conditions actually for the differences of the cities' types and zones in our country is introduced, which combines the local economic development tendency, chooses a suitable model owned a certain precisions from the models available and based on the forecasting ability for the future. The suitable MSW output forecasting model by the same method is set up. The evidence indicates that the pattern is very suitable for short term forecasting and has some practical values.
出处
《华中科技大学学报（城市科学版）》
CAS
2003年第1期41-43,共3页
Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology
关键词
因地制宜
城镇
垃圾量
预测
短期预测
MSW output forecasting
forecasting model
precision
forecasting ability
short term forecasting
