摘要
随着国民经济的高速增长,我国房地产价格呈现出不断攀升的态势,房价的不断上涨迫使人们愈加关心房地产市场是否存在泡沫。文章从房地产价格、房地产供求和房地产信贷3方面出发,选取7个指标对2005～2017年西安市房地产泡沫进行实证分析,由于各指标之间存在异质性,进而运用综合指数法进行了合成测度,结果表明2005,2011和2017年西安市房地产均存在泡沫。最后,提出我国应从长效机制下进行宏观调控和发展共有产权住房的意见建议。
With the growth of the national economy,China's real estate prices have shown a rising trend,and rising house prices have forced people to pay more attention to whether there is a bubble in the real estate market.Based on the three aspects of real estate price,real estate supply and demand and real estate credit,this paper selects seven indicators to conduct an empirical analysis of the real estate bubble in Xi'an from 2005 to 2016.Due to the heterogeneity between the indicators,the comprehensive index method is used for the synthetic measurement.The results show that there is a bubble in real estate in Xi'an in 2005,2006 and 2011.Finally,it puts forward suggestions on China's macro-control and development of shared property housing under the long-term mechanism.
作者
徐伟
陈雪芳
XUWei;CHEN Xuefang(School of civil engineering,Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology,Baotou 014010)
出处
《科技促进发展》
CSCD
2019年第1期62-67,共6页
Science & Technology for Development
基金
内蒙古科技厅自然科学基金(2017MS0535):内蒙古地区绿色住宅建筑增量成本与能效测度研究
负责人:徐伟
关键词
房地产泡沫
房价收入比
综合指数法
real estate bubble
house price to income ratio
comprehensive index method
